Do I ship it?

GamesInteractive FictionInteractive Fiction + Hacking

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Hacking Interactive Fiction?

Interactive Fiction + Hacking

Of 25 developers who shipped a Hacking Interactive Fiction in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 56 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.9 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $390; 1 in 20 cleared $340k, ×729 the market median. Revenue is up 170% on the market; 56 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 170% on the market, 56 announced, ×4.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Interactive Fiction + Hacking
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 25
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.6k → $955 → $300 → $5.5k → $3.0k (still earning) → $629 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Interactive Fiction + Hacking: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 25
Bottom 30% $390 (exactly $390)
Median $898 (exactly $898)
Top 25% $7.8k (exactly $7,794)
Top 5% $346k (exactly $346,421)
Developers, 2 yr 25
Released games 56
Announced 56
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $8.49

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 170% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Interactive Fiction
effort 1 / 10 · high · prose plus a state machine
Hacking
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Interactive Fiction; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Puzzle, Multiple Endings, Simulation
Price point
$8.49 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $8.49.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 5,838 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $390, median $900, 1 in 4 over $7.7k, 1 in 20 over $340k.

3 in 10 developers made under $390. 8 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 56 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Interactive Fiction with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVFair164 devs · median $36k · 162 announced
  2. + Match 3Fair12 devs · median $4.8k · 7 announced
  3. + VampiresFair41 devs · median $1.8k · 52 announced
  4. + SportsFair19 devs · median $1.5k · 19 announced
  5. + IncrementalFair160 devs · median $1.4k · 144 announced
  6. + PiratesFair7 devs · median $1.3k · 7 announced
  7. + DrivingFair12 devs · median $1.2k · 13 announced
  8. + DiplomacyFair12 devs · median $1.0k · 17 announced
  9. + Perma DeathFair27 devs · median $959 · 28 announced
  10. + Board GameFair9 devs · median $657 · 12 announced
  11. + SnowFair10 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  12. + BuildingFair17 devs · median $449 · 20 announced

All 169 pairs on the Interactive Fiction page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Orwell: Keeping an Eye On You older $9.99 8,936 90% 268k $2.7M (exactly $2,678,119) Osmotic Studios
Analogue: A Hate Story older $9.99 1,696 94% 51k $508k (exactly $508,291) Love Conquers All Games
HackHub - Ultimate Hacker Simulator $16.99 937 88% 28k $478k (exactly $477,589) HotBunny
Orwell: Ignorance is Strength older $9.99 1,506 77% 45k $451k (exactly $451,348) Osmotic Studios
s.p.l.i.t $2.99 3,862 92% 116k $346k (exactly $346,421) Mike Klubnika
No Players Online $14.99 624 83% 19k $281k (exactly $280,613) Beeswax Games
Yolo Space Hacker older $24.99 208 95% 6.2k $156k (exactly $155,938) BKNLab
Keyword: A Spider's Thread older $16.99 239 79% 7.2k $122k (exactly $121,818) City From Naught Inc.
SIMULACRA 3 older $9.99 328 56% 9.8k $98k (exactly $98,302) Kaigan Games
Hacked: The Streamer $8.49 268 73% 8.0k $68k (exactly $68,260) Button Interactive, NAISU
The Case of Andrew D. $14.99 24 87% 720 $11k (exactly $10,793) Marcin Borkowski
Hello Stranger $9.99 31 80% 930 $9.3k (exactly $9,291) PRM Games
Blackdoor $12.99 20 85% 600 $7.8k (exactly $7,794) Static Signal
GAME.exe 2 - Phantom Strike $5.99 34 76% 1.0k $6.1k (exactly $6,110) Punx Studios
Forgotten 23 $12.99 14 92% 420 $5.5k (exactly $5,456) KovalGames
PINEAPPLE: A Bittersweet Revenge $4.99 24 83% 720 $3.6k (exactly $3,593) PATRONES & ESCONDITES

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.