Games › Turn-Based Combat › Turn-Based Combat + Gothic
Should I ship a Gothic Turn-Based Combat game?
Turn-Based Combat + Gothic
Of 27 developers who shipped a Gothic Turn-Based Combat game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 61 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $5.9k, ×12 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.4k; 1 in 20 cleared $180k, ×395 the market median. Revenue is down 65% on the market; 61 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $1.3k (exactly $1,347) |
|---|---|
| Median | $5.9k (exactly $5,872) |
| Top 25% | $25k (exactly $25,490) |
| Top 5% | $188k (exactly $187,706) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 27 |
| Released games | 64 |
| Announced | 61 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply 140% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Turn-Based Combat
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Gothic
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Turn-Based Combat; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Turn-Based Tactics, Adventure, RPG
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Dark, 2D, Atmospheric
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 83% positive over 2,107 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.4k. 8 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 61 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Turn-Based Combat with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + WuxiaStrong odds
- + Hack and SlashStrong odds
- + RomeFair
- + CookingFair
- + UndergroundFair
- + IdlerFair
- + DiceFair
- + Traditional RoguelikeFair
- + ArcadeFair
- + Tower DefenseFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
- + SolitaireFair
Comparable games
Darkest Dungeon® 2016 · $106M 
Darkest Dungeon® II 2023 · $29M 
Warhammer 40,000: Chaos Gate - Daemonhunters 2022 · $15M 
Iratus: Lord of the Dead 2020 · $6.5M 
Fear & Hunger 2: Termina 2022 · $5.1M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Darkest Dungeon® | older | $24.99 | 140,790 91% | 4.2M | $106M (exactly $105,550,263) | Red Hook Studios |
| | Darkest Dungeon® II | older | $39.99 | 24,249 74% | 727k | $29M (exactly $29,091,525) | Red Hook Studios |
| | Warhammer 40,000: Chaos Gate - Daemonhunters | older | $44.99 | 11,426 76% | 343k | $15M (exactly $15,421,672) | Complex Games |
| | Iratus: Lord of the Dead | older | $29.99 | 7,206 84% | 216k | $6.5M (exactly $6,483,238) | Unfrozen |
| | Fear & Hunger 2: Termina | older | $11.99 | 14,232 97% | 427k | $5.1M (exactly $5,119,250) | Miro Haverinen |
 | Othercide | older | $29.99 | 4,516 82% | 135k | $4.1M (exactly $4,063,045) | Lightbulb Crew |
 | Legend of Keepers: Career of a Dungeon Manager | older | $19.99 | 3,939 79% | 118k | $2.4M (exactly $2,362,218) | Goblinz Studio |
 | Rogue Lords | older | $24.99 | 1,442 71% | 43k | $1.1M (exactly $1,081,067) | Leikir Studio, Cyanide Studio |
 | The Necromancer's Tale | $24.99 | 921 91% | 28k | $690k (exactly $690,474) | Psychic Software | |
 | Dragon Star Varnir | older | $39.99 | 453 78% | 14k | $543k (exactly $543,464) | Idea Factory, Compile Heart |
 | Tenebris: Terra Incognita | $19.99 | 313 79% | 9.4k | $188k (exactly $187,706) | Phantasmica Studios | |
 | Few Nights More | $14.99 | 382 81% | 11k | $172k (exactly $171,785) | Aeterna Ludi | |
 | The Fortress | $6.99 | 151 68% | 4.5k | $32k (exactly $31,665) | Baryonyx Games | |
 | Vambrace: Dungeon Monarch | $14.99 | 61 70% | 1.8k | $27k (exactly $27,432) | Dvora Studio Co. Ltd. | |
 | Ex Sanguis | · EA | $19.99 | 45 77% | 1.4k | $27k (exactly $26,986) | Lightbulb Crew |
 | Atre: Dominance Wars | · EA | $24.99 | 34 67% | 1.0k | $25k (exactly $25,490) | Ironward |
 | Claymores of the Lost Kingdom | $9.99 | 83 67% | 2.5k | $25k (exactly $24,875) | Ultaan Games | |
 | CARD QUEST | $9.99 | 72 69% | 2.2k | $22k (exactly $21,578) | MEOW STORE GAME | |
 | RAVENSBURG | $14.99 | 45 95% | 1.4k | $20k (exactly $20,236) | Lilian Duleroux |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.