Do I ship it?

GamesTime ManagementTime Management + Gambling

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Gambling Time Management game?

Time Management + Gambling

Only 18 developers shipped a Gambling Time Management game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Gamble With Your Friends, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 30 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $420 in the last 2 years and $420 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 3 / 10 build. 8 developers shipped in the last year and 30 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 500% on the market, 30 announced, ×3.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Time Management + Gambling
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 18
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $449 → $7.8k → $1.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Time Management + Gambling: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 18
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $418 (exactly $418)
Top 25% $7.8k (exactly $7,794)
Top 5% $4.5M (exactly $4,526,255)
Developers, 2 yr 18
Released games 39
Announced 30
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 500% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 23%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Time Management
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Gambling
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Time Management, Gambling; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Resource Management, Sandbox, Simulation
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Realistic
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 19,733 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $420, 1 in 4 over $7.7k, 1 in 20 over $4.5M.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 30 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Time Management with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dungeon CrawlerFair35 devs · median $7.0k · 44 announced
  2. + ProgrammingFair15 devs · median $7.0k · 26 announced
  3. + Inventory ManagementFair181 devs · median $2.9k · 228 announced
  4. + AgricultureFair57 devs · median $2.3k · 73 announced
  5. + Time TravelFair17 devs · median $2.2k · 19 announced
  6. + ZombiesFair27 devs · median $2.1k · 29 announced
  7. + LootFair34 devs · median $1.5k · 47 announced
  8. + Turn-Based TacticsFair65 devs · median $1.4k · 69 announced
  9. + AutomationFair162 devs · median $1.2k · 191 announced
  10. + Bullet HellFair11 devs · median $1.2k · 15 announced
  11. + ThrillerFair42 devs · median $1.1k · 65 announced
  12. + Artificial IntelligenceFair53 devs · median $1.0k · 65 announced

All 179 pairs on the Time Management page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Gamble With Your Friends $7.99 18,883 89% 566k $4.5M (exactly $4,526,255) TEAM GWYF
STONKS-9800: Stock Market Simulator · EA older $9.99 3,124 95% 94k $936k (exactly $936,263) TERNOX
Ultimate Theater Simulator $12.99 634 88% 19k $247k (exactly $247,070) RAKTWO Games, steelbox Games
Dog Brew older $3.50 1,522 97% 46k $160k (exactly $159,810) Yuliy Oneshko, S-Grade
Casino Simulator 2024 $5.99 119 69% 3.6k $21k (exactly $21,384) METAGAR
Backyard Boxing $7.99 49 48% 1.5k $12k (exactly $11,745) Crime House Games, TheShadeGameDev
Casino Management Simulator · EA $12.99 20 60% 600 $7.8k (exactly $7,794) BroxStudios
Lotto Life older $9.99 4 75% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) Stephen Rich, Anthony Rietkerk, Ryan, J… (Stephen Rich, Anthony Rietkerk, Ryan, Jiwon Suh, Jason Maiser, Pallav Sharda, Nuvya Dutt Sharda)
Side Hustle $3.99 10 70% 300 $1.2k (exactly $1,197) theJameskrik
Idle Trading Simulator older $0.99 38 42% 1.1k $1.1k (exactly $1,129) DiamosDev
100% Plasma Vitae $4.99 4 75% 120 $599 (exactly $599) Plasma Team
ON money · EA $4.99 3 66% 90 $449 (exactly $449) jumic games
Desktop Pachinko Idle $1.99 7 57% 210 $418 (exactly $418) neonpixy
Gokai Awesome Simulator + $2.99 4 50% 120 $359 (exactly $359) Gokai, Cocoaaa64

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.