Do I ship it?

Games › Procedural Generation › Procedural Generation + Gambling

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Procedural Generation Gambling game?

Procedural Generation + Gambling

Of 28 developers who shipped a Procedural Generation Gambling game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 56 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $20k, ×42 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.1k; 1 in 20 cleared $2.0M, ×4275 the market median. Revenue is down 35% on the market; 56 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 42.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 35% on the market, 56 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Procedural Generation + Gambling
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 28
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $29k → $20k → $27k (still earning) → $2.7k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Procedural Generation + Gambling: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 28
Bottom 30% $1.0k (exactly $1,048)
Median $20k (exactly $20,080)
Top 25% $232k (exactly $232,020)
Top 5% $2.0M (exactly $2,030,509)
Developers, 2 yr 28
Released games 44
Announced 56
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 35% on the market, supply 265% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Procedural Generation
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Gambling
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Procedural Generation, Gambling; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Deckbuilding, Roguelike, Roguelike Deckbuilder
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 36,788 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.1k, median $20k, 1 in 4 over $230k, 1 in 20 over $2.0M.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.1k. 8 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 56 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Procedural Generation with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SnowFair11 devs · median $3.0k · 16 announced
  2. + Traditional RoguelikeFair71 devs · median $2.0k · 93 announced
  3. + DetectiveFair29 devs · median $1.5k · 30 announced
  4. + Word GameFair22 devs · median $1.3k · 23 announced
  5. + TypingFair26 devs · median $1.1k · 11 announced
  6. + IdlerFair98 devs · median $807 · 107 announced
  7. + LogicFair137 devs · median $478 · 149 announced
  8. + Walking SimulatorFair57 devs · median $449 · 62 announced
  9. + Precision PlatformerFair49 devs · median $449 · 42 announced
  10. + Hidden ObjectFair58 devs · median $418 · 56 announced
  11. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds31 devs · median $77k · 95 announced
  12. + TrainsPoor odds22 devs · median $30k · 35 announced

All 222 pairs on the Procedural Generation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Gamble With Your Friends 2026 · $4.5M Sol Cesto 2026 · $2.0M Dungeon Clawler 2026 · $1.7M RACCOIN: Coin Pusher Roguelike 2026 · $1.5M Dungeons & Degenerate Gamblers 2024 · $1.3M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Gamble With Your Friends $7.99 18,883 89% 566k $4.5M (exactly $4,526,255) TEAM GWYF
Sol Cesto $13.99 4,838 91% 145k $2.0M (exactly $2,030,509) Tambouille, Géraud Zucchini, Chariospir… (Tambouille, Géraud Zucchini, Chariospirale)
Dungeon Clawler $14.99 3,716 88% 111k $1.7M (exactly $1,671,085) Stray Fawn Studio
RACCOIN: Coin Pusher Roguelike $11.99 4,239 82% 127k $1.5M (exactly $1,524,768) Doraccoon
Dungeons & Degenerate Gamblers older $14.99 2,988 81% 90k $1.3M (exactly $1,343,704) Purple Moss Collectors
Horsey Game $9.99 2,911 97% 87k $872k (exactly $872,427) Captain Games
Bingle Bingle $14.99 666 80% 20k $300k (exactly $299,500) Knitting Games
Insider Trading $12.89 600 79% 18k $232k (exactly $232,020) Naiive
Spin Hero $7.99 573 73% 17k $137k (exactly $137,348) Sphere Studios
Fhtagn Simulator older $7.99 535 89% 16k $128k (exactly $128,240) 锁眼工作室
RogueJack21 $11.99 196 67% 5.9k $71k (exactly $70,501) Zandbox Studio
SuperTaxCity $9.99 166 89% 5.0k $50k (exactly $49,750) soramame-koubou

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.