Do I ship it?

GamesSplit ScreenSplit Screen + Futuristic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Futuristic Split Screen game?

Split Screen + Futuristic

Of 21 developers who shipped a Futuristic Split Screen game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $810, ×1.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $110k, ×178 the market median. Revenue is up 170% on the market; 29 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 170% on the market, 29 announced, ×2.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Split Screen + Futuristic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 21
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $70k → $7.9k → $598 → $300 → $899 (still earning) → $809 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Split Screen + Futuristic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 21
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $809 (exactly $809)
Top 25% $2.9k (exactly $2,936)
Top 5% $112k (exactly $111,572)
Developers, 2 yr 21
Released games 73
Announced 29
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 170% on the market, supply 10% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Split Screen
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Futuristic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Split Screen; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Racing, Arcade, Combat Racing
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Colorful, 3D, Cartoon
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 1,257 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $810, 1 in 4 over $2.9k, 1 in 20 over $110k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. All of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 29 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Split Screen with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Automobile SimStrong odds25 devs · median $5.5k · 14 announced
  2. + DrivingFair54 devs · median $6.0k · 56 announced
  3. + Immersive SimFair12 devs · median $6.0k · 14 announced
  4. + HorrorFair16 devs · median $4.3k · 18 announced
  5. + SportsFair58 devs · median $4.0k · 52 announced
  6. + RPGFair28 devs · median $450 · 31 announced
  7. + Score AttackLong shot23 devs · median $300 · 24 announced
  8. + CollectathonPoor odds10 devs · median $38k · 16 announced
  9. + Online Co-OpPoor odds30 devs · median $25k · 63 announced
  10. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds15 devs · median $18k · 20 announced
  11. + Open WorldPoor odds20 devs · median $10k · 27 announced
  12. + Tower DefensePoor odds8 devs · median $7.9k · 10 announced

All 84 pairs on the Split Screen page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Call of Duty®: Black Ops III older $59.99 157,694 88% 4.7M $284M (exactly $283,801,892) Treyarch, Aspyr (Mac)
The Ascent older $29.99 19,235 74% 577k $17M (exactly $17,305,730) Neon Giant
STAR WARS™: Battlefront Classic Collection older $35.01 7,125 23% 214k $7.5M (exactly $7,483,388) Aspyr
Distance older $24.99 5,832 93% 175k $4.4M (exactly $4,372,250) Refract
GRIP: Combat Racing older $29.99 3,669 86% 110k $3.3M (exactly $3,300,999) Caged Element
Screamer $59.99 1,039 80% 31k $1.9M (exactly $1,869,888) Milestone S.r.l.
BallisticNG older $14.99 2,285 95% 69k $1.0M (exactly $1,027,564) Neognosis
Sky Rogue older $19.99 1,059 92% 32k $635k (exactly $635,082) Fractal Phase
ExoCross older $19.99 437 68% 13k $262k (exactly $262,069) iRacing.com Motorsport Simulations, iRa… (iRacing.com Motorsport Simulations, iRacing)
マーダーミステリーパラドクス このひと夏の十五年 older $19.99 249 85% 7.5k $149k (exactly $149,325) 213℉
TRANSFORMERS: Galactic Trials $39.99 93 78% 2.8k $112k (exactly $111,572) 3DClouds
Star Racer $9.99 59 93% 1.8k $18k (exactly $17,682) Whatnot Games
Exo Wanderers · EA $11.99 22 100% 660 $7.9k (exactly $7,913) 什工坊SueStudio
Supersonic Bridge Racing $11.99 11 100% 330 $4.0k (exactly $3,957) Stumi Games
TENNISTRONIC · EA $6.99 14 100% 420 $2.9k (exactly $2,936) Gametheus
RollCats $19.99 4 100% 120 $2.4k (exactly $2,399) Hoglet Interactive
Catch Flex $9.99 7 100% 210 $2.1k (exactly $2,098) Vilegacy
Hover REV Hispeed Burst $10.99 5 60% 150 $1.6k (exactly $1,648) JKK_WORKS
Velocide Overdrive $9.99 3 100% 90 $899 (exactly $899) NoxRift Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.