Do I ship it?

Games › MOBA › MOBA + Futuristic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Futuristic MOBA?

MOBA + Futuristic

Only 10 developers shipped a paid Futuristic MOBA in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Source Code, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 5 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 21 more are announced, ×5.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 9 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $480 against a market of $1.3k. 21 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 21 announced, ×5.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
MOBA + Futuristic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for MOBA + Futuristic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $479 (exactly $479)
Top 25% $3.9k (exactly $3,897)
Top 5% $20k (exactly $19,790)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 37
Announced 21
Effort 9 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 54%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

MOBA
effort 9 / 10 · low · competitive netcode plus a balanced hero roster
Futuristic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
9 / 10 · studio only
Systems
MOBA
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 72% positive over 87 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $480, 1 in 4 over $3.8k, 1 in 20 over $19k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 9 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 21 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

MOBA with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RoguelitePoor odds10 devs · median $3.9k · 15 announced
  2. + AdventurePoor odds12 devs · median $3.1k · 44 announced
  3. + Tower DefensePoor odds7 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  4. + FantasyPoor odds18 devs · median $2.7k · 85 announced
  5. + Character CustomizationPoor odds10 devs · median $1.8k · 40 announced
  6. + Online Co-OpPoor odds19 devs · median $600 · 57 announced
  7. + Co-opPoor odds21 devs · median $479 · 53 announced
  8. + ActionPoor odds53 devs · median $359 · 170 announced
  9. + SimulationPoor odds12 devs · median $359 · 33 announced
  10. + RPGPoor odds23 devs · median $180 · 73 announced
  11. + Hero ShooterDead5 devs · median $49k · 24 announced
  12. + SurvivalDead6 devs · median $31k · 22 announced

All 50 pairs on the MOBA page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Command & Conquer™ 4 Tiberian Twilight 2010 · $1.0M Source Code 2024 · $20k Cyber Clutch: Hot Import Nights 2025 · $13k Enemy Inside 2024 · EA · $3.9k Harpoon Arena 2026 · $1.8k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Command & Conquer™ 4 Tiberian Twilight older $6.96 4,832 16% 145k $1.0M (exactly $1,008,922) EA Los Angeles
Source Code $19.99 33 60% 990 $20k (exactly $19,790) Blitzball.Inc
Cyber Clutch: Hot Import Nights $19.99 21 61% 630 $13k (exactly $12,594) Gunpowder Games, Focuspoint Studios
Enemy Inside · EA $12.99 10 100% 300 $3.9k (exactly $3,897) Six Ways Games
Harpoon Arena $5.99 10 90% 300 $1.8k (exactly $1,797) FairGoose
Handgun Football $3.99 4 50% 120 $479 (exactly $479) )erek(
Match Match Mania! older $14.99 1 100% 30 $450 (exactly $450) Dashing Cape
Inkoid $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Spacecowboy
Cosmic Order Fleet $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) DotSpark Studio
Append older $4.95 3 100% 90 $446 (exactly $446) FreezeLance AB
War to the Core · EA $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Forgotten Mines
poo poo war $5.99 1 100% 30 $180 (exactly $180) 张程
KunlunWonderland $0.99 1 100% 30 $30 (exactly $30) He WenYuan

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.