Do I ship it?

GamesFPSFPS + Word Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Word Game FPS?

FPS + Word Game

Only 5 developers shipped a Word Game FPS in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, 每日亲亲洛丽塔, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 22 more are announced, ×5.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $14k against a market of $1.5k. 22 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 9.0 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 22 announced, ×5.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
FPS + Word Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 5
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.6k → $861 → $3.1k → $3.7k → $2.0k → $14k (still earning) → $30 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for FPS + Word Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 5
Bottom 30% $3.7k (exactly $3,742)
Median $14k (exactly $13,552)
Top 25% $19k (exactly $19,044)
Top 5% $101k (exactly $101,138)
Developers, 2 yr 5
Released games 110
Announced 22
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $0.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

FPS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Word Game
effort 1 / 10 · high · dictionary logic and simple UI

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
FPS, Word Game
Price point
$0.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 1,142 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $3.8k, median $14k, 1 in 4 over $19k, 1 in 20 over $100k.

3 in 10 developers made under $3.8k. Nearly all of the 25 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 22 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

FPS with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LGBTQ+Fair28 devs · median $32k · 22 announced
  2. + Dating SimFair47 devs · median $19k · 36 announced
  3. + IdlerFair22 devs · median $4.2k · 23 announced
  4. + GamblingFair24 devs · median $4.1k · 22 announced
  5. + FaithFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 12 announced
  6. + Precision PlatformerFair37 devs · median $1.6k · 38 announced
  7. + Martial ArtsFair13 devs · median $1.4k · 12 announced
  8. + Walking SimulatorFair172 devs · median $1.2k · 190 announced
  9. + RunnerLong shot39 devs · median $958 · 43 announced
  10. + Action RTSLong shot16 devs · median $899 · 21 announced
  11. + Bullet HellLong shot130 devs · median $629 · 145 announced
  12. + DogsLong shot6 devs · median $594 · 7 announced

All 216 pairs on the FPS page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
月に寄りそう乙女の作法 older $39.99 3,462 97% 104k $4.2M (exactly $4,153,361) Navel
Lay a Beauty to Rest: The Darkness Peach Blossom Spring older $13.99 6,310 95% 189k $2.6M (exactly $2,648,307) 零创游戏(ZerocreationGame)
Our End of the World older $9.99 4,453 79% 134k $1.3M (exactly $1,334,564) 橘子班, 大好网
Clover Day's Plus older $34.99 572 94% 17k $600k (exactly $600,428) ALcot
月球坠落时 Moon Fall older $14.99 982 87% 29k $442k (exactly $441,605) Xihe Animation, JasminsSummer Project
Hana no No ni Saku Utakata no older $29.99 415 93% 12k $373k (exactly $373,376) Applique
Madohi Shiroki no Kamikakushi older $29.99 217 91% 6.5k $195k (exactly $195,235) Lump of Sugar
每日亲亲洛丽塔 $8.99 375 74% 11k $101k (exactly $101,138) 夜羊社
Sekai to Sekai no Mannaka de older $29.99 106 88% 3.2k $95k (exactly $95,368) Lump of Sugar
School Years older $11.99 230 78% 6.9k $83k (exactly $82,731) YEARS
我的高冷女友 MY COLD GIRLFRIEND $1.99 319 79% 9.6k $19k (exactly $19,044) SuiKa Soft
广式双马尾的报恩 $1.99 227 99% 6.8k $14k (exactly $13,552) lamb of game
BROKEN God Awakening $4.99 25 76% 750 $3.7k (exactly $3,742) lamb of game
你的牛子 $1.99 33 87% 990 $2.0k (exactly $1,970) lamb of game
Hentai Tales: Academy's Record $0.99 41 85% 1.2k $1.2k (exactly $1,218) Hentai works
Hentai Tales: Futanari Office $0.99 36 88% 1.1k $1.1k (exactly $1,069) Hentai works
Hentai Tales: Futanari x Monster Girl $0.99 31 77% 930 $921 (exactly $921) Hentai works
Hentai Tales: Taboo Sisters $0.99 28 92% 840 $832 (exactly $832) Hentai works
Hentai Tales: Sweety Milf $0.99 27 74% 810 $802 (exactly $802) Hentai works

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.