Games › FPS › FPS + Visual Novel
Should I ship a Visual Novel FPS?
FPS + Visual Novel
Of 56 developers who shipped a Visual Novel FPS in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 47 more are announced, ×2.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $15k, ×9.8 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.3k; 1 in 20 cleared $750k, ×506 the market median. Revenue is up 35% on the market; 47 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $2.3k (exactly $2,274) |
|---|---|
| Median | $15k (exactly $14,685) |
| Top 25% | $62k (exactly $62,338) |
| Top 5% | $758k (exactly $757,883) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 56 |
| Released games | 325 |
| Announced | 47 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $0.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 35% on the market, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- FPS
- effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
- Visual Novel
- effort 2 / 10 · high · script, choices and static art
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- FPS, Visual Novel; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Dating Sim, Adventure, Interactive Fiction
- Price point
- $0.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Anime, Cute, Story Rich
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $0.99.
The top 10 games average 91% positive over 11,125 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $2.3k. 8 in 10 of the 59 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 47 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
FPS with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + Dating SimFair
- + IdlerFair
- + GamblingFair
- + FaithFair
- + Precision PlatformerFair
- + Martial ArtsFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + RunnerLong shot
- + Action RTSLong shot
- + Bullet HellLong shot
- + DogsLong shot
Comparable games
Summer Memories 2020 · $14M 
魔女的夜宴 2023 · $10M 
コイカツ！ / Koikatsu Party 2019 · $9.5M 
Sword Art Online: Fatal Bullet 2018 · $9.3M 
Mirror 2: Project X 2022 · EA · $6.6M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Summer Memories | older | $19.99 | 24,113 92% | 723k | $14M (exactly $14,460,566) | Dojin Otome |
| | 魔女的夜宴 | older | $34.99 | 9,664 98% | 290k | $10M (exactly $10,144,301) | YUZUSOFT |
| | コイカツ！ / Koikatsu Party | older | $59.99 | 5,298 91% | 159k | $9.5M (exactly $9,534,811) | ILLUSION |
| | Sword Art Online: Fatal Bullet | older | $19.99 | 15,461 79% | 464k | $9.3M (exactly $9,271,962) | Dimps Corporation |
| | Mirror 2: Project X | · EA older | $1.99 | 111,251 24% | 3.3M | $6.6M (exactly $6,641,685) | KAGAMI Ⅱ WORKs |
 | Winter Memories | older | $19.99 | 10,365 97% | 311k | $6.2M (exactly $6,215,890) | Dojin Otome |
 | Riddle Joker | older | $34.99 | 5,715 97% | 171k | $6.0M (exactly $5,999,036) | YUZUSOFT |
 | Living With Sister: Monochrome Fantasy | older | $12.99 | 15,119 69% | 454k | $5.9M (exactly $5,891,874) | Inusuku |
 | Café Stella and the Reaper's Butterflies | older | $34.99 | 5,450 97% | 164k | $5.7M (exactly $5,720,865) | YUZUSOFT |
 | Aokana - Four Rhythms Across the Blue | older | $34.99 | 5,080 97% | 152k | $5.3M (exactly $5,332,476) | sprite, NekoNyan Ltd. |
 | Hello Love: 18 Again | $19.99 | 2,075 92% | 62k | $1.2M (exactly $1,244,378) | 念念而忘(Echofall Studio) | |
 | Sickly Days and Summer Traces | $19.99 | 1,500 93% | 45k | $900k (exactly $899,550) | Sister Position | |
 | DRACU-RIOT! | $34.99 | 722 98% | 22k | $758k (exactly $757,883) | YUZUSOFT | |
 | Natsu no Sagashimono ~What We Found That Summer~ | $14.99 | 1,094 87% | 33k | $492k (exactly $491,972) | pekoge-sutagio | |
 | NEKOPARA After | $9.99 | 1,198 90% | 36k | $359k (exactly $359,041) | NEKO WORKs | |
 | 哎呦!这么多美女呀! | $18.99 | 609 91% | 18k | $347k (exactly $346,947) | Hangzhou Miqi Technology Co.,Ltd | |
 | Select Oblige | $29.99 | 375 76% | 11k | $337k (exactly $337,388) | Madosoft | |
 | Hold Me Tight All Night, Onii-chan! | $19.99 | 411 94% | 12k | $246k (exactly $246,477) | Tinkle Position | |
 | City Lights Love Bites Season 0 [Pilot Season] | $2.00 | 2,766 94% | 83k | $166k (exactly $165,960) | NaughtyOba | |
 | 每日亲亲洛丽塔 | $8.99 | 375 74% | 11k | $101k (exactly $101,138) | 夜羊社 |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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