Do I ship it?

GamesFPSFPS + Twin Stick Shooter

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Twin Stick Shooter FPS?

FPS + Twin Stick Shooter

Only 10 developers shipped a Twin Stick Shooter FPS in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Bad Pixels, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 10 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $360 against a market of $1.5k. 10 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 255% on the market, 10 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
FPS + Twin Stick Shooter
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for FPS + Twin Stick Shooter: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $180 (exactly $180)
Median $358 (exactly $358)
Top 25% $599 (exactly $599)
Top 5% $7.9k (exactly $7,913)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 26
Announced 10
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 255% on the market, supply 55% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

FPS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Twin Stick Shooter
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
FPS, Twin Stick Shooter
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 91% positive over 48 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $360, 1 in 4 over $590, 1 in 20 over $7.9k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 10 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

FPS with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LGBTQ+Fair28 devs · median $32k · 22 announced
  2. + Dating SimFair47 devs · median $19k · 36 announced
  3. + IdlerFair22 devs · median $4.2k · 23 announced
  4. + GamblingFair24 devs · median $4.1k · 22 announced
  5. + FaithFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 12 announced
  6. + Precision PlatformerFair37 devs · median $1.6k · 38 announced
  7. + Martial ArtsFair13 devs · median $1.4k · 12 announced
  8. + Walking SimulatorFair172 devs · median $1.2k · 190 announced
  9. + RunnerLong shot39 devs · median $958 · 43 announced
  10. + Action RTSLong shot16 devs · median $899 · 21 announced
  11. + Bullet HellLong shot130 devs · median $629 · 145 announced
  12. + DogsLong shot6 devs · median $594 · 7 announced

All 216 pairs on the FPS page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Guardians Frontline older $24.99 287 83% 8.6k $215k (exactly $215,164) VirtualAge
Guns'n'Stories: Bulletproof VR older $9.99 387 87% 12k $116k (exactly $115,984) MIROWIN
AHEGAL older $1.99 1,165 88% 35k $70k (exactly $69,550) OppaiMan 2D
Bad Pixels · EA $11.99 22 95% 660 $7.9k (exactly $7,913) Dadako
Aster Fpv Drone Simulator older $19.99 13 69% 390 $7.8k (exactly $7,796) Emmanuel Perrillon
Disputed Space older $1.99 80 61% 2.4k $4.8k (exactly $4,776) ShilohGames
ROBOCRACY $11.99 9 88% 270 $3.2k (exactly $3,237) DGMA
Pangman older $11.99 8 87% 240 $2.9k (exactly $2,878) Ivanovich Games
BattleTanks - Animal Wars $4.99 4 100% 120 $599 (exactly $599) Kasur Games
Dead Christmas $14.99 1 100% 30 $450 (exactly $450) Mad Park Games
Brainrot Tung Tung Sahur $1.99 6 66% 180 $358 (exactly $358) Onlygames S.R.L.
Void Daggers $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) mobx.games
Circuit Runner $5.99 1 100% 30 $180 (exactly $180) No Sleep Till Monday
Void Breaker $0.99 2 100% 60 $59 (exactly $59) AA Mini Games Studio
KunlunWonderland $0.99 1 100% 30 $30 (exactly $30) He WenYuan
The Drone Lord $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Ian Chambers

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.