Do I ship it?

Games › FPS › FPS + Turn-Based Tactics

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Turn-Based Tactics FPS?

FPS + Turn-Based Tactics

Only 10 developers shipped a Turn-Based Tactics FPS in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Nightmare Knight ~Sacred Maiden & Fallen Magic~, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.1k, ×0.7 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $300k, ×201 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 20 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 20 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
FPS + Turn-Based Tactics
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.2k → $5.4k → $7.3k → $539
Outcomes for FPS + Turn-Based Tactics: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $356 (exactly $356)
Median $1.1k (exactly $1,078)
Top 25% $4.1k (exactly $4,133)
Top 5% $301k (exactly $300,613)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 33
Announced 20
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

FPS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Turn-Based Tactics
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
FPS, Turn-Based Tactics
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 86% positive over 709 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $1.1k, 1 in 4 over $4.1k, 1 in 20 over $300k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 20 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

FPS with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LGBTQ+Fair28 devs · median $32k · 22 announced
  2. + Dating SimFair47 devs · median $19k · 36 announced
  3. + IdlerFair22 devs · median $4.2k · 23 announced
  4. + GamblingFair24 devs · median $4.1k · 22 announced
  5. + FaithFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 12 announced
  6. + Precision PlatformerFair37 devs · median $1.6k · 38 announced
  7. + Martial ArtsFair13 devs · median $1.4k · 12 announced
  8. + Walking SimulatorFair172 devs · median $1.2k · 190 announced
  9. + RunnerLong shot39 devs · median $958 · 43 announced
  10. + Action RTSLong shot16 devs · median $899 · 21 announced
  11. + Bullet HellLong shot130 devs · median $629 · 145 announced
  12. + DogsLong shot6 devs · median $594 · 7 announced

All 216 pairs on the FPS page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

The Arrogant Kaiju Princess and The Detective Servant 2023 · $1.6M Beach Invasion 1944 2022 · $311k Nightmare Knight ~Sacred Maiden & Fallen Magic~ 2024 · $301k UndercoverAgent 2021 · $225k Police Shootout 2022 · $202k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Arrogant Kaiju Princess and The Detective Servant older $14.99 3,468 96% 104k $1.6M (exactly $1,559,560) ARTcelerator, PantyParrot
Beach Invasion 1944 older $9.99 1,038 84% 31k $311k (exactly $311,089) AIx2 Games
Nightmare Knight ~Sacred Maiden & Fallen Magic~ $17.99 557 86% 17k $301k (exactly $300,613) orzPINEz
UndercoverAgent older $7.99 940 81% 28k $225k (exactly $225,318) AleCubicSoft
Police Shootout older $14.99 449 55% 13k $202k (exactly $201,915) Games Incubator, Hypnotic Ants
Deep Space Battle Simulator older $9.99 358 78% 11k $107k (exactly $107,293) yeswecamp
The Bluecoats: North & South older $14.99 176 61% 5.3k $79k (exactly $79,147) Appeal Studios
Fantasy of Caocao 2 older $8.99 290 83% 8.7k $78k (exactly $78,213) 桑尼游戏(Sunny Game)
Street Lords older $14.99 115 57% 3.5k $52k (exactly $51,716) Studio HK
Midnight Mahjong older $6.99 227 64% 6.8k $48k (exactly $47,602) AleCubicSoft
The Ghost Treasure $1.99 88 93% 2.6k $5.3k (exactly $5,254) 谭浩翔
Double It $5.99 23 91% 690 $4.1k (exactly $4,133) Anisage Games
Headshot Roulette $4.99 18 94% 540 $2.7k (exactly $2,695) Atomic Collective
The Good, The Bad & The Monkey $5.99 6 100% 180 $1.1k (exactly $1,078) Take Away Interactive
The Panopticon $5.99 3 66% 90 $539 (exactly $539) ATLANTION
Tactical Pulse $0.99 12 16% 360 $356 (exactly $356) Zero Degree Studio
Trinkets and Gunpowder $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) Kieron Rana
Battle Alien $1.99 1 100% 30 $60 (exactly $60) log_gry
Stab Club $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Monokrom Interactive

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.