Do I ship it?

GamesFPSFPS + Turn-Based Combat

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Turn-Based Combat FPS?

FPS + Turn-Based Combat

Only 6 developers shipped a Turn-Based Combat FPS in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Nightmare Knight ~Sacred Maiden & Fallen Magic~, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 13 more are announced, ×6.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $180 against a market of $1.5k. 13 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.1 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 13 announced, ×6.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
FPS + Turn-Based Combat
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 6
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $300 → $179 → $301k
Outcomes for FPS + Turn-Based Combat: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 6
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $179 (exactly $179)
Top 25% $269 (exactly $269)
Top 5% $301k (exactly $300,613)
Developers, 2 yr 6
Released games 29
Announced 13
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

FPS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Turn-Based Combat
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
FPS, Turn-Based Combat
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 7,097 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $180, 1 in 4 over $260, 1 in 20 over $300k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. 13 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

FPS with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LGBTQ+Fair28 devs · median $32k · 22 announced
  2. + Dating SimFair47 devs · median $19k · 36 announced
  3. + IdlerFair22 devs · median $4.2k · 23 announced
  4. + GamblingFair24 devs · median $4.1k · 22 announced
  5. + FaithFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 12 announced
  6. + Precision PlatformerFair37 devs · median $1.6k · 38 announced
  7. + Martial ArtsFair13 devs · median $1.4k · 12 announced
  8. + Walking SimulatorFair172 devs · median $1.2k · 190 announced
  9. + RunnerLong shot39 devs · median $958 · 43 announced
  10. + Action RTSLong shot16 devs · median $899 · 21 announced
  11. + Bullet HellLong shot130 devs · median $629 · 145 announced
  12. + DogsLong shot6 devs · median $594 · 7 announced

All 216 pairs on the FPS page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Yarimono older $24.99 4,011 86% 120k $3.0M (exactly $3,007,047) にゅう工房
Nightmare Knight ~Sacred Maiden & Fallen Magic~ $17.99 557 86% 17k $301k (exactly $300,613) orzPINEz
UndercoverAgent older $7.99 940 81% 28k $225k (exactly $225,318) AleCubicSoft
Police Shootout older $14.99 449 55% 13k $202k (exactly $201,915) Games Incubator, Hypnotic Ants
异常情绪回收组 older $10.99 393 80% 12k $130k (exactly $129,572) 墨元素
Deep Space Battle Simulator older $9.99 358 78% 11k $107k (exactly $107,293) yeswecamp
The Bluecoats: North & South older $14.99 176 61% 5.3k $79k (exactly $79,147) Appeal Studios
Gloomgrave older $4.99 183 87% 5.5k $27k (exactly $27,395) Netmancer
故鄉戰爭 HOMETOWN WAR older $7.99 17 82% 510 $4.1k (exactly $4,075) Coral Dream Studio
Their Land older $2.99 13 61% 390 $1.2k (exactly $1,166) Thomas Förg Media
Rabbits Hunt $2.99 3 100% 90 $269 (exactly $269) Usagi Lab
Drone Fire $2.99 2 100% 60 $179 (exactly $179) QplusQ
GGO 枪战火线 $4.99 1 0% 30 $150 (exactly $150) 布工作室, Cloth Studio
Emoji Puzzle Action - Codename: ManKun $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) nps努力
RouletteCircus · EA $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) StudioMohaji

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.