Should I ship a Trading FPS?
FPS + Trading
Only 17 developers shipped a Trading FPS in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Car For Sale Simulator, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 39 more are announced, ×6.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $3.6k, ×2.4 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $10M, ×6883 the market median. Revenue is up 155% on the market; 39 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $1.2k (exactly $1,198) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.6k (exactly $3,597) |
| Top 25% | $56k (exactly $55,744) |
| Top 5% | $10M (exactly $10,310,721) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 17 |
| Released games | 43 |
| Announced | 39 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $8.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 155% on the market, supply 45% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 23%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- FPS, Trading; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Life Sim, Simulation, Immersive Sim
- Price point
- $8.99 typical · top 25% priced $16.99 or above
- Art
- 8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 3D, Family Friendly
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $16.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.
The top 10 games average 81% positive over 31,124 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.2k. 7 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 39 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
FPS with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + Dating SimFair
- + IdlerFair
- + GamblingFair
- + FaithFair
- + Precision PlatformerFair
- + Martial ArtsFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + RunnerLong shot
- + Action RTSLong shot
- + Bullet HellLong shot
- + DogsLong shot
Comparable games
Sunkenland 2023 · EA · $12M 
Car For Sale Simulator 2024 · $10M 
Car Dealer Simulator 2025 · $5.9M 
Prison Simulator 2021 · $1.4M 
Gym Simulator 24 2024 · $986k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Sunkenland | · EA older | $19.99 | 20,536 80% | 616k | $12M (exactly $12,315,439) | Vector3 Studio |
| | Car For Sale Simulator | $16.99 | 20,229 78% | 607k | $10M (exactly $10,310,721) | Red Axe Games | |
| | Car Dealer Simulator | $19.99 | 9,831 88% | 295k | $5.9M (exactly $5,895,651) | Garage Monkeys | |
| | Prison Simulator | older | $19.99 | 2,329 86% | 70k | $1.4M (exactly $1,396,701) | Baked Games |
| | Gym Simulator 24 | older | $12.99 | 2,531 84% | 76k | $986k (exactly $986,331) | Red Axe Games |
 | Shoppe Keep 2 | older | $9.99 | 1,527 57% | 46k | $458k (exactly $457,642) | Strange Fire |
 | Estate Agent Simulator | · EA older | $15.99 | 573 67% | 17k | $275k (exactly $274,868) | Kiki Games |
 | Toy Tinker Simulator | older | $12.99 | 290 56% | 8.7k | $113k (exactly $113,013) | Turquoise Revival Games |
 | Weapons Genius | older | $5.99 | 475 53% | 14k | $85k (exactly $85,358) | JDM4iK, Droid Riot |
 | Pawn Planet | $9.99 | 280 71% | 8.4k | $84k (exactly $83,916) | Gambol Games | |
 | Rent A Car Simulator 24 | $12.99 | 154 53% | 4.6k | $60k (exactly $60,014) | 2MEDYA | |
 | Device Doctor Simulator 2024 | $9.99 | 186 62% | 5.6k | $56k (exactly $55,744) | Tenacity Games | |
 | Vending Machine Business Simulator | $8.99 | 193 74% | 5.8k | $52k (exactly $52,052) | Crow Interactive | |
 | Car Service Simulator | · EA | $6.99 | 190 51% | 5.7k | $40k (exactly $39,843) | Red Axe Games |
 | T.D.Z. 4 Chapter 1 - Arrival | $5.99 | 38 92% | 1.1k | $6.8k (exactly $6,829) | Team GZ, VADIM CHURILOV | |
 | Gun Shop Manager | · EA | $12.99 | 13 38% | 390 | $5.1k (exactly $5,066) | Aiolos Studios, Welter Games |
 | Night Market Simulator | $11.99 | 10 60% | 300 | $3.6k (exactly $3,597) | OxygenStudio |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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