Do I ship it?

GamesFPSFPS + Top-Down Shooter

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Top-Down Shooter FPS?

FPS + Top-Down Shooter

Only 12 developers shipped a Top-Down Shooter FPS in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Artificial Extinction 2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 12 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $150 against a market of $1.5k. 12 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 30% on the market, 12 announced, ×4.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
FPS + Top-Down Shooter
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $449 → $150 → $300 → $60 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for FPS + Top-Down Shooter: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $59 (exactly $59)
Median $150 (exactly $150)
Top 25% $25k (exactly $25,387)
Top 5% $68k (exactly $67,766)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 37
Announced 12
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 30% on the market, supply 65% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

FPS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Top-Down Shooter
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
FPS, Top-Down Shooter
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 67% positive over 577 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $59, median $150, 1 in 4 over $25k, 1 in 20 over $67k.

3 in 10 developers made under $59. 9 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 12 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

FPS with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LGBTQ+Fair28 devs · median $32k · 22 announced
  2. + Dating SimFair47 devs · median $19k · 36 announced
  3. + IdlerFair22 devs · median $4.2k · 23 announced
  4. + GamblingFair24 devs · median $4.1k · 22 announced
  5. + FaithFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 12 announced
  6. + Precision PlatformerFair37 devs · median $1.6k · 38 announced
  7. + Martial ArtsFair13 devs · median $1.4k · 12 announced
  8. + Walking SimulatorFair172 devs · median $1.2k · 190 announced
  9. + RunnerLong shot39 devs · median $958 · 43 announced
  10. + Action RTSLong shot16 devs · median $899 · 21 announced
  11. + Bullet HellLong shot130 devs · median $629 · 145 announced
  12. + DogsLong shot6 devs · median $594 · 7 announced

All 216 pairs on the FPS page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Guardians of Orion (Phase 2) older $0.99 2,979 53% 89k $88k (exactly $88,476) DANKIE
KUNKUN Defender older $2.99 822 97% 25k $74k (exactly $73,733) Seal
Artificial Extinction 2 $19.99 113 77% 3.4k $68k (exactly $67,766) 100Hr Games Inc
The AC130 slays the zombies. $3.99 377 63% 11k $45k (exactly $45,127) 汪双羽
Try to survive Today · EA $10.99 77 68% 2.3k $25k (exactly $25,387) VIVA
Astro Looter: Survivor older $1.99 386 67% 12k $23k (exactly $23,044) Soda Game Studio
Hentai Strip Shot older $1.99 86 82% 2.6k $5.1k (exactly $5,134) NP
WWII Tanks: Forgotten Battles older $4.99 15 53% 450 $2.2k (exactly $2,246) SP GAMES
AimGoGoGo older $4.99 13 84% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) FeiWu Studio
Tank Commander: Battlefield older $2.99 11 36% 330 $987 (exactly $987) SP GAMES
BattleTanks - Animal Wars $4.99 4 100% 120 $599 (exactly $599) Kasur Games
Attack of Bunnies $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) 4SAGEZ STUDIOS PVT. LTD.
Core Break $4.99 1 0% 30 $150 (exactly $150) MythByte, Blipsounds
Bryan's Indie Collection $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Bryan Veres
Defender of the Orcish Marches $1.99 1 100% 30 $60 (exactly $60) GameStrubios
Void Breaker $0.99 2 100% 60 $59 (exactly $59) AA Mini Games Studio
Alien Shooters $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Frame Sixty LLC

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.