Do I ship it?

GamesFPSFPS + Time Travel

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Time-Travel FPS?

FPS + Time Travel

Only 13 developers shipped a Time-Travel FPS in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, TEAM PANIC, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced, ×7.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $840 against a market of $1.5k. 29 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 6210% on the market, 29 announced, ×7.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
FPS + Time Travel
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $22k → $479 → $839 → $838
Outcomes for FPS + Time Travel: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $838 (exactly $838)
Top 25% $987 (exactly $987)
Top 5% $9.9k (exactly $9,935)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 55
Announced 29
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 6210% on the market, supply 55% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

FPS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Time Travel
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
FPS
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 66% positive over 190 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $840, 1 in 4 over $980, 1 in 20 over $9.9k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. All of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 29 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×7.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

FPS with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LGBTQ+Fair28 devs · median $32k · 22 announced
  2. + Dating SimFair47 devs · median $19k · 36 announced
  3. + IdlerFair22 devs · median $4.2k · 23 announced
  4. + GamblingFair24 devs · median $4.1k · 22 announced
  5. + FaithFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 12 announced
  6. + Precision PlatformerFair37 devs · median $1.6k · 38 announced
  7. + Martial ArtsFair13 devs · median $1.4k · 12 announced
  8. + Walking SimulatorFair172 devs · median $1.2k · 190 announced
  9. + RunnerLong shot39 devs · median $958 · 43 announced
  10. + Action RTSLong shot16 devs · median $899 · 21 announced
  11. + Bullet HellLong shot130 devs · median $629 · 145 announced
  12. + DogsLong shot6 devs · median $594 · 7 announced

All 216 pairs on the FPS page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Titanfall® 2 older $29.99 255,050 95% 7.7M $229M (exactly $229,468,485) Respawn Entertainment
BioShock Infinite older $29.99 109,718 93% 3.3M $99M (exactly $98,713,285) Irrational Games, Virtual Programming (… (Irrational Games, Virtual Programming (Linux))
Singularity™ older $29.99 5,487 93% 165k $4.9M (exactly $4,936,654) Raven Software
TimeShift™ older $19.99 1,131 80% 34k $678k (exactly $678,261) Saber Interactive
Chop Goblins older $4.99 2,881 97% 86k $431k (exactly $431,286) David Szymanski
Time Warpers older $19.99 493 82% 15k $296k (exactly $295,652) Proton Studio Inc
Supplice · EA older $14.99 533 87% 16k $240k (exactly $239,690) Mekworx
Doctor Who: The Edge of Reality older $24.99 275 59% 8.3k $206k (exactly $206,168) Maze Theory Ltd, Just Add Water (Develo… (Maze Theory Ltd, Just Add Water (Developments), Ltd.)
Daikatana older $6.99 806 58% 24k $169k (exactly $169,018) Ion Storm
Time Rifters older $9.99 395 87% 12k $118k (exactly $118,382) Proton Studio Inc
TEAM PANIC $3.99 83 62% 2.5k $9.9k (exactly $9,935) Furko
Temporal Purge: Z $4.99 56 85% 1.7k $8.4k (exactly $8,383) Exec Games
The Backrooms: Rescue Expedition $9.99 21 33% 630 $6.3k (exactly $6,294) {CRYTIME}
Temporal Gunslinger $2.99 11 100% 330 $987 (exactly $987) Ledan's Gift
Primal Reign : The Age of New Kings $9.99 3 0% 90 $899 (exactly $899) The Games Shed
Blue Hill Wendigo $6.99 4 75% 120 $839 (exactly $839) Merchant Of Stories
Operation Dimera $3.99 7 42% 210 $838 (exactly $838) SupKai
乾坤玺•明 $8.99 2 0% 60 $539 (exactly $539) 玉刃工作室
William The Best Shooter $2.99 2 100% 60 $179 (exactly $179) CYBERVIGILANT LABS LTD
TIME COWBOY · EA $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) carlosfruitcup

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.