Do I ship it?

Games › FPS › FPS + Tanks

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Tanks FPS?

FPS + Tanks

Only 16 developers shipped a Tanks FPS in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Vietnam War, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced, ×4.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, ×0.4 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50. 29 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.8 per shipper, while revenue is up 170% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 170% on the market, 29 announced, ×4.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
FPS + Tanks
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.8k → $30 → $599 → $1.3k
Outcomes for FPS + Tanks: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $4.0k (exactly $4,047)
Top 5% $766k (exactly $766,289)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 81
Announced 29
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 170% on the market, supply 40% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 23%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

FPS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Tanks
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
FPS, Tanks; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Vehicular Combat, Action-Adventure
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Realistic, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 2,638 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $600, 1 in 4 over $4.0k, 1 in 20 over $760k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 29 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

FPS with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LGBTQ+Fair28 devs · median $32k · 22 announced
  2. + Dating SimFair47 devs · median $19k · 36 announced
  3. + IdlerFair22 devs · median $4.2k · 23 announced
  4. + GamblingFair24 devs · median $4.1k · 22 announced
  5. + FaithFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 12 announced
  6. + Precision PlatformerFair37 devs · median $1.6k · 38 announced
  7. + Martial ArtsFair13 devs · median $1.4k · 12 announced
  8. + Walking SimulatorFair172 devs · median $1.2k · 190 announced
  9. + RunnerLong shot39 devs · median $958 · 43 announced
  10. + Action RTSLong shot16 devs · median $899 · 21 announced
  11. + Bullet HellLong shot130 devs · median $629 · 145 announced
  12. + DogsLong shot6 devs · median $594 · 7 announced

All 216 pairs on the FPS page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Battlefield™ 1 2020 · $241M Hell Let Loose 2021 · $149M Call of Duty: World at War 2008 · $27M Red Orchestra 2: Heroes of Stalingrad with Rising Storm 2011 · $15M Gunner, HEAT, PC! 2022 · EA · $6.8M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Battlefield™ 1 older $39.99 200,661 86% 6.0M $241M (exactly $240,733,002) DICE
Hell Let Loose older $49.99 99,628 83% 3.0M $149M (exactly $149,412,112) Expression Games
Call of Duty: World at War older $19.99 45,792 92% 1.4M $27M (exactly $27,461,462) Treyarch
Red Orchestra 2: Heroes of Stalingrad with Rising Storm older $19.99 24,876 93% 746k $15M (exactly $14,918,137) Tripwire Interactive
Gunner, HEAT, PC! · EA older $29.99 7,603 91% 228k $6.8M (exactly $6,840,419) Radian Simulations LLC
Total Tank Simulator older $19.99 7,582 81% 227k $4.5M (exactly $4,546,925) Noobz from Poland
Beyond The Wire older $9.99 5,247 68% 157k $1.6M (exactly $1,572,526) Redstone Interactive
Vietnam War · EA $14.99 1,704 84% 51k $766k (exactly $766,289) Thorium Game Lab
Battlezone 98 Redux older $19.99 1,044 91% 31k $626k (exactly $626,087) Big Boat Interactive
Battlezone: Combat Commander older $19.99 851 90% 26k $510k (exactly $510,345) Big Boat Interactive
Tank Squad $19.99 847 70% 25k $508k (exactly $507,946) DeGenerals S.A.
Kamikaze Strike: FPV Drone $5.99 48 83% 1.4k $8.6k (exactly $8,626) Dinomore Games
Rage Of Towers $14.99 9 77% 270 $4.0k (exactly $4,047) Tiger Among Shadows
Tanks 3D $4.99 9 100% 270 $1.3k (exactly $1,347) yp3d
Platoon $9.99 3 33% 90 $899 (exactly $899) Phalanx Tactical
War in the Gulf $4.99 4 75% 120 $599 (exactly $599) Oxford Digital Enterprises
BattleTanks - Animal Wars $4.99 4 100% 120 $599 (exactly $599) Kasur Games
Anti Terrorist Shooting Game $1.49 9 77% 270 $402 (exactly $402) Squad Cell
hotland $1.99 1 100% 30 $60 (exactly $60) AdamasZ

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.