Do I ship it?

GamesFPSFPS + Tactical RPG

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Tactical RPG FPS?

FPS + Tactical RPG

Only 13 developers shipped a Tactical RPG FPS in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Silent North, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 42 more are announced, ×6.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $150, ×0.1 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50. 42 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.0 per shipper, while revenue is up 50% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 50% on the market, 42 announced, ×6.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
FPS + Tactical RPG
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $807 → $2.5k → $1.2k → $0 → $0 → $356 → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for FPS + Tactical RPG: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $150 (exactly $150)
Top 25% $1.2k (exactly $1,198)
Top 5% $60k (exactly $59,970)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 70
Announced 42
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 50% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

FPS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Tactical RPG
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
FPS, Tactical RPG; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action-Adventure, Adventure
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 8 games average 48% positive over 183 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $150, 1 in 4 over $1.1k, 1 in 20 over $59k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 7 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 42 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

FPS with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LGBTQ+Fair28 devs · median $32k · 22 announced
  2. + Dating SimFair47 devs · median $19k · 36 announced
  3. + IdlerFair22 devs · median $4.2k · 23 announced
  4. + GamblingFair24 devs · median $4.1k · 22 announced
  5. + FaithFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 12 announced
  6. + Precision PlatformerFair37 devs · median $1.6k · 38 announced
  7. + Martial ArtsFair13 devs · median $1.4k · 12 announced
  8. + Walking SimulatorFair172 devs · median $1.2k · 190 announced
  9. + RunnerLong shot39 devs · median $958 · 43 announced
  10. + Action RTSLong shot16 devs · median $899 · 21 announced
  11. + Bullet HellLong shot130 devs · median $629 · 145 announced
  12. + DogsLong shot6 devs · median $594 · 7 announced

All 216 pairs on the FPS page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Brigand: Oaxaca older $9.99 551 94% 17k $165k (exactly $165,135) Brian J. Lancaster, Laughing Coyote Sof… (Brian J. Lancaster, Laughing Coyote Software)
Fantasy of Caocao 2 older $8.99 290 83% 8.7k $78k (exactly $78,213) 桑尼游戏(Sunny Game)
Prime & Load : 1776 older $7.99 313 76% 9.4k $75k (exactly $75,026) Radio Silence Entertainment
Silent North · EA $19.99 100 29% 3.0k $60k (exactly $59,970) Combat Waffle Studios
World Titans War · EA older $14.99 67 55% 2.0k $30k (exactly $30,130) PROMVI GAMES
Outbreak: Contagious Memories older $29.99 30 63% 900 $27k (exactly $26,991) Dead Drop Studios LLC
Code 3: Police Response · EA older $14.99 36 63% 1.1k $16k (exactly $16,189) 109 Below
Deal & Wheeler · EA older $9.99 40 40% 1.2k $12k (exactly $11,988) ArtNeronDevelopment
Survival Africa older $16.99 22 36% 660 $11k (exactly $11,213) MeanDean
Just Skill Shooter older $9.99 36 47% 1.1k $11k (exactly $10,789) Gamesforgames
ASHWAKE · EA $14.99 8 62% 240 $3.6k (exactly $3,598) Ghost Development
鬼灵的冒险GUILING's Adventure $1.99 54 94% 1.6k $3.2k (exactly $3,224) 硅晶石工作室Sicrystal Studio
Bigfoot Hunting · EA $7.99 5 0% 150 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) VRCFORGE STUDIOS
Tactical Pulse $0.99 12 16% 360 $356 (exactly $356) Zero Degree Studio
Drone:Modern Warfare $2.99 2 0% 60 $179 (exactly $179) AndyKwok008
Black Signal $4.99 1 0% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Matthew Lalande
Last Gate $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Village Wind
Enosis $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Studio Platinwolf
motorcycle combat $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) QplusQ

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.