Do I ship it?

Games › FPS › FPS + Tabletop

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Tabletop FPS?

FPS + Tabletop

Of 20 developers who shipped a Tabletop FPS in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 18 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.1k, ×2.8 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $270; 1 in 20 cleared $10M, ×6818 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 18 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 18 announced, ×1.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
FPS + Tabletop
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 20
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $7.3k → $4.1k → $4.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for FPS + Tabletop: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 20
Bottom 30% $270 (exactly $270)
Median $4.1k (exactly $4,133)
Top 25% $18k (exactly $17,523)
Top 5% $10M (exactly $10,214,068)
Developers, 2 yr 20
Released games 38
Announced 18
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 300% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

FPS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Tabletop
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
FPS, Tabletop; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Gambling, Co-op
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $6.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Dark
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $6.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 53,017 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $270, median $4.1k, 1 in 4 over $17k, 1 in 20 over $10M.

3 in 10 developers made under $270. 18 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

FPS with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LGBTQ+Fair28 devs · median $32k · 22 announced
  2. + Dating SimFair47 devs · median $19k · 36 announced
  3. + IdlerFair22 devs · median $4.2k · 23 announced
  4. + GamblingFair24 devs · median $4.1k · 22 announced
  5. + FaithFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 12 announced
  6. + Precision PlatformerFair37 devs · median $1.6k · 38 announced
  7. + Martial ArtsFair13 devs · median $1.4k · 12 announced
  8. + Walking SimulatorFair172 devs · median $1.2k · 190 announced
  9. + RunnerLong shot39 devs · median $958 · 43 announced
  10. + Action RTSLong shot16 devs · median $899 · 21 announced
  11. + Bullet HellLong shot130 devs · median $629 · 145 announced
  12. + DogsLong shot6 devs · median $594 · 7 announced

All 216 pairs on the FPS page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Liar's Bar 2024 · EA · $10M Nine-Ball Roulette 2025 · $258k Casino Simulator 2024 · EA · $236k Bogos Binted? 2026 · $187k Mahjong Pretty Girls Battle : School Girls Edition 2015 · $84k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Liar's Bar · EA $6.99 48,708 89% 1.5M $10M (exactly $10,214,068) Curve Animation
Nine-Ball Roulette $3.99 2,159 88% 65k $258k (exactly $258,432) WaveBox Labs
Casino Simulator · EA older $9.99 786 81% 24k $236k (exactly $235,564) Lodos Games
Bogos Binted? $5.49 1,134 91% 34k $187k (exactly $186,770) underbadger
Mahjong Pretty Girls Battle : School Girls Edition older $14.99 187 64% 5.6k $84k (exactly $84,094) Zoo Corporation
Casino Island Simulator · EA $8.99 120 61% 3.6k $32k (exactly $32,364) Clap Games
ENCOUNTER BAR $0.99 590 78% 18k $18k (exactly $17,523) 2R
Your Second Wife $3.99 135 84% 4.1k $16k (exactly $16,160) Kygua Tech
Cheater's Table · EA $6.99 69 95% 2.1k $14k (exactly $14,469) Lagari
Game with Friends · EA $5.99 48 64% 1.4k $8.6k (exactly $8,626) Beaf Studio
Moorhuhn 2 $4.99 31 96% 930 $4.6k (exactly $4,641) Higgs Games GmbH, GeekPit Studio
Double It $5.99 23 91% 690 $4.1k (exactly $4,133) Anisage Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.