Games › FPS › FPS + Supernatural
Should I ship a Supernatural FPS?
FPS + Supernatural
Of 138 developers who shipped a Supernatural FPS in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 205 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.0k, ×0.7 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360. 205 games are announced against 77 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper, while revenue is up 50% on the market.
| Bottom 30% | $359 (exactly $359) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.0k (exactly $1,048) |
| Top 25% | $6.1k (exactly $6,110) |
| Top 5% | $387k (exactly $386,845) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 138 |
| Released games | 311 |
| Announced | 205 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 50% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- FPS
- effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
- Supernatural
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- FPS; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Survival Horror
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Atmospheric, 3D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 76% positive over 15,458 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $360. 9 in 10 of the 72 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 205 games are announced against 77 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
FPS with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + Dating SimFair
- + IdlerFair
- + GamblingFair
- + FaithFair
- + Precision PlatformerFair
- + Martial ArtsFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + RunnerLong shot
- + Action RTSLong shot
- + Bullet HellLong shot
- + DogsLong shot
Comparable games
Ghostwire: Tokyo 2022 · $23M 
BIGFOOT 2017 · EA · $11M 
Amnesia: The Bunker 2023 · $7.8M 
John Carpenter's Toxic Commando 2026 · $7.5M 
The Darkness II 2012 · $7.4M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Ghostwire: Tokyo | older | $59.99 | 12,954 83% | 389k | $23M (exactly $23,313,314) | Tango Gameworks |
| | BIGFOOT | · EA older | $19.99 | 17,818 83% | 535k | $11M (exactly $10,685,455) | CyberLight Game Studio |
| | Amnesia: The Bunker | older | $24.99 | 10,349 93% | 310k | $7.8M (exactly $7,758,645) | Frictional Games |
| | John Carpenter's Toxic Commando | $39.99 | 6,274 72% | 188k | $7.5M (exactly $7,526,918) | Saber Interactive | |
| | The Darkness II | older | $29.99 | 8,204 91% | 246k | $7.4M (exactly $7,381,139) | Digital Extremes |
 | FATAL FRAME / PROJECT ZERO: Maiden of Black Water | older | $39.99 | 5,442 82% | 163k | $6.5M (exactly $6,528,767) | KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD. |
 | Midnight Ghost Hunt | older | $19.99 | 5,420 80% | 163k | $3.3M (exactly $3,250,374) | Vaulted Sky Games |
 | Redfall | older | $39.99 | 2,460 40% | 74k | $3.0M (exactly $2,951,262) | Arkane Austin |
 | Forgive Me Father | older | $19.99 | 3,705 84% | 111k | $2.2M (exactly $2,221,888) | Byte Barrel |
 | Gal*Gun 2 | older | $29.99 | 2,094 83% | 63k | $1.9M (exactly $1,883,972) | INTI CREATES CO., LTD. |
 | Labyrinth Of The Demon King | $19.99 | 2,116 92% | 63k | $1.3M (exactly $1,268,965) | J. R. Hudepohl | |
 | FBC: Firebreak | $19.99 | 1,985 65% | 60k | $1.2M (exactly $1,190,404) | Remedy Entertainment | |
 | Total Chaos | $24.99 | 1,561 86% | 47k | $1.2M (exactly $1,170,282) | Trigger Happy Interactive | |
 | Folklore Hunter | $17.99 | 1,217 75% | 37k | $657k (exactly $656,815) | Liquid Donkey Games | |
 | Active Matter | $29.99 | 522 75% | 16k | $470k (exactly $469,643) | Matter Team | |
 | Stygian: Outer Gods | · EA | $24.99 | 516 80% | 15k | $387k (exactly $386,845) | Misterial Games |
 | Soulslinger: Envoy of Death | $19.99 | 472 63% | 14k | $283k (exactly $283,058) | Elder Games | |
 | No Players Online | $14.99 | 624 83% | 19k | $281k (exactly $280,613) | Beeswax Games | |
 | Of Lies and Rain | $39.99 | 171 79% | 5.1k | $205k (exactly $205,149) | Castello Inc |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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