Do I ship it?

GamesFPSFPS + Superhero

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Superhero FPS?

FPS + Superhero

Only 5 developers shipped a Superhero FPS in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, STARVAULT VR, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 12 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $3.3k against a market of $1.5k. 12 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 2.2 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 12 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
FPS + Superhero
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 5

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for FPS + Superhero: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 5
Bottom 30% $719 (exactly $719)
Median $3.3k (exactly $3,319)
Top 25% $6.3k (exactly $6,296)
Top 5% $49k (exactly $49,480)
Developers, 2 yr 5
Released games 27
Announced 12
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 300% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

FPS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Superhero
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
FPS
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 5,430 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $720, median $3.3k, 1 in 4 over $6.2k, 1 in 20 over $49k.

3 in 10 developers made under $720. 12 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

FPS with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LGBTQ+Fair28 devs · median $32k · 22 announced
  2. + Dating SimFair47 devs · median $19k · 36 announced
  3. + IdlerFair22 devs · median $4.2k · 23 announced
  4. + GamblingFair24 devs · median $4.1k · 22 announced
  5. + FaithFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 12 announced
  6. + Precision PlatformerFair37 devs · median $1.6k · 38 announced
  7. + Martial ArtsFair13 devs · median $1.4k · 12 announced
  8. + Walking SimulatorFair172 devs · median $1.2k · 190 announced
  9. + RunnerLong shot39 devs · median $958 · 43 announced
  10. + Action RTSLong shot16 devs · median $899 · 21 announced
  11. + Bullet HellLong shot130 devs · median $629 · 145 announced
  12. + DogsLong shot6 devs · median $594 · 7 announced

All 216 pairs on the FPS page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Sairento VR older $29.99 1,448 86% 43k $1.3M (exactly $1,302,766) Mixed Realms Pte Ltd, Swag Soft Holding… (Mixed Realms Pte Ltd, Swag Soft Holdings Pte Ltd)
Megaton Rainfall older $15.99 2,155 71% 65k $1.0M (exactly $1,033,754) Pentadimensional Games, SL
Dread Templar older $19.99 1,096 82% 33k $657k (exactly $657,271) T19 Games
STARVAULT VR $24.99 66 89% 2.0k $49k (exactly $49,480) Theia Games
Time To Stop Time older $9.99 161 71% 4.8k $48k (exactly $48,252) Sicarius
Death Horizon: Reloaded older $19.99 76 80% 2.3k $46k (exactly $45,577) Horizon Lab LLP
Gemini: Heroes Reborn older $2.99 351 79% 11k $31k (exactly $31,485) Phosphor Games
Captain ToonHead vs the Punks from Outer Space older $19.99 20 100% 600 $12k (exactly $11,994) Teravision Games
SATORI older $7.99 43 76% 1.3k $10k (exactly $10,307) EMOTION THEORY
Kebabstar 🌯⭐ · EA $14.99 14 78% 420 $6.3k (exactly $6,296) Zeybek
Night Jackal: Blood Debt $2.99 37 78% 1.1k $3.3k (exactly $3,319) Nothing Rhymes With Entertainment
SUPER MARKET $5.99 4 75% 120 $719 (exactly $719) Spectacularly Obsolete Logic Operations… (Spectacularly Obsolete Logic Operations: Glitchy Applications Marvelously Executed Shoddily)
Goose · EA $0.99 1 100% 30 $30 (exactly $30) Plasmatic Jaguar

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.