Do I ship it?

GamesFPSFPS + Strategy RPG

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Strategy RPG FPS?

FPS + Strategy RPG

Only 11 developers shipped a Strategy RPG FPS in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, WARSHIFT 2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 34 more are announced, ×5.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $480, ×0.3 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150. 34 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.7 per shipper, while revenue is flat on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 34 announced, ×5.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
FPS + Strategy RPG
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.5k → $900 → $713 → $150 → $539 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for FPS + Strategy RPG: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $479 (exactly $479)
Top 25% $2.1k (exactly $2,098)
Top 5% $32k (exactly $32,384)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 47
Announced 34
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

FPS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Strategy RPG
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
FPS, Strategy RPG
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 64% positive over 109 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $480, 1 in 4 over $2.0k, 1 in 20 over $32k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. All of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 34 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

FPS with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LGBTQ+Fair28 devs · median $32k · 22 announced
  2. + Dating SimFair47 devs · median $19k · 36 announced
  3. + IdlerFair22 devs · median $4.2k · 23 announced
  4. + GamblingFair24 devs · median $4.1k · 22 announced
  5. + FaithFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 12 announced
  6. + Precision PlatformerFair37 devs · median $1.6k · 38 announced
  7. + Martial ArtsFair13 devs · median $1.4k · 12 announced
  8. + Walking SimulatorFair172 devs · median $1.2k · 190 announced
  9. + RunnerLong shot39 devs · median $958 · 43 announced
  10. + Action RTSLong shot16 devs · median $899 · 21 announced
  11. + Bullet HellLong shot130 devs · median $629 · 145 announced
  12. + DogsLong shot6 devs · median $594 · 7 announced

All 216 pairs on the FPS page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Ancient Warfare 3 older $12.99 2,659 95% 80k $1.0M (exactly $1,036,212) JNI Games
Jerez's Arena older $19.99 648 80% 19k $389k (exactly $388,606) 永恆艾莉絲工坊, 樂磚Joy Brick
Brigand: Oaxaca older $9.99 551 94% 17k $165k (exactly $165,135) Brian J. Lancaster, Laughing Coyote Sof… (Brian J. Lancaster, Laughing Coyote Software)
Queen's Glory older $6.99 624 68% 19k $131k (exactly $130,853) BananaKing, 台灣香蕉王
Prime & Load : 1776 older $7.99 313 76% 9.4k $75k (exactly $75,026) Radio Silence Entertainment
Pirates Journey older $12.99 93 53% 2.8k $36k (exactly $36,242) 2MEDYA
WARSHIFT 2 $19.99 54 70% 1.6k $32k (exactly $32,384) Cyril Megem
Scrapping Simulator · EA older $12.99 59 93% 1.8k $23k (exactly $22,992) DefectGaming
Deal & Wheeler · EA older $9.99 40 40% 1.2k $12k (exactly $11,988) ArtNeronDevelopment
Inheritors2078 older $11.99 19 63% 570 $6.8k (exactly $6,834) Elhaitham Ashmawy, Mohamed Eshmawy, Nou… (Elhaitham Ashmawy, Mohamed Eshmawy, Nour Ashmawy)
NO STRANGERS $4.99 29 58% 870 $4.3k (exactly $4,341) Xeirel Software
QIMEN Tower Defense $9.99 7 100% 210 $2.1k (exactly $2,098) Tianjin Wuhua Network Technology Co., L… (Tianjin Wuhua Network Technology Co., Ltd.)
Rise Of Transport · EA $2.99 10 60% 300 $897 (exactly $897) Softdimension Games
乾坤玺•明 $8.99 2 0% 60 $539 (exactly $539) 玉刃工作室
Prison Cook Simulator · EA $7.99 2 50% 60 $479 (exactly $479) Alpak Games
The Last Hope: Exodus $5.00 2 0% 60 $300 (exactly $300) Shaheer Saleem
Mother Bunker VR $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Rook Gaming, LLC
Black Signal $4.99 1 0% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Matthew Lalande
Creeps: Halls of Insanity · EA $1.99 1 0% 30 $60 (exactly $60) Steve Pill

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.