Do I ship it?

GamesFPSFPS + Score Attack

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Score Attack FPS?

FPS + Score Attack

Of 93 developers who shipped a Score Attack FPS in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 122 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $630, ×0.4 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150. 122 games are announced against 54 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper, while revenue is up 20% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 20% on the market, 122 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
FPS + Score Attack
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 93
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.1k → $898 → $900 → $2.0k → $629 → $600 → $657 (still earning) → $300 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for FPS + Score Attack: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 93
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $629 (exactly $629)
Top 25% $6.9k (exactly $6,893)
Top 5% $254k (exactly $253,546)
Developers, 2 yr 93
Released games 310
Announced 122
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 20% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

FPS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Score Attack
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
FPS, Score Attack; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Shooter, Arcade
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 3D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 20,537 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $630, 1 in 4 over $6.8k, 1 in 20 over $250k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 8 in 10 of the 46 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 122 games are announced against 54 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

FPS with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LGBTQ+Fair28 devs · median $32k · 22 announced
  2. + Dating SimFair47 devs · median $19k · 36 announced
  3. + IdlerFair22 devs · median $4.2k · 23 announced
  4. + GamblingFair24 devs · median $4.1k · 22 announced
  5. + FaithFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 12 announced
  6. + Precision PlatformerFair37 devs · median $1.6k · 38 announced
  7. + Martial ArtsFair13 devs · median $1.4k · 12 announced
  8. + Walking SimulatorFair172 devs · median $1.2k · 190 announced
  9. + RunnerLong shot39 devs · median $958 · 43 announced
  10. + Action RTSLong shot16 devs · median $899 · 21 announced
  11. + Bullet HellLong shot130 devs · median $629 · 145 announced
  12. + DogsLong shot6 devs · median $594 · 7 announced

All 216 pairs on the FPS page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
ULTRAKILL · EA older $29.99 213,450 97% 6.4M $192M (exactly $192,040,965) Arsi "Hakita" Patala
Counter-Strike older $9.99 169,780 96% 5.1M $51M (exactly $50,883,066) Valve
Metal: Hellsinger older $29.99 13,989 96% 420k $13M (exactly $12,585,903) The Outsiders
White Knuckle · EA $16.99 13,356 98% 401k $6.8M (exactly $6,807,553) Dark Machine Games
MULLET MADJACK older $19.99 8,235 97% 247k $4.9M (exactly $4,938,530) HAMMER95
The Typing of The Dead: Overkill older $19.99 2,782 87% 83k $1.7M (exactly $1,668,365) Modern Dream
HYPER DEMON older $14.99 3,087 94% 93k $1.4M (exactly $1,388,224) Sorath
Post Void older $2.99 10,806 97% 324k $969k (exactly $969,298) YCJY Games
Vampire Hunters $14.99 1,941 89% 58k $873k (exactly $872,868) Gamecraft Studios
Aim Hero · EA older $4.99 5,453 85% 164k $816k (exactly $816,314) ProGames Studio
Bloodshed $12.99 1,824 84% 55k $711k (exactly $710,813) com8com1 Software
Wizordum $19.99 880 91% 26k $528k (exactly $527,736) Emberheart Games
Guns and Nuns: Storming Hell $9.99 846 88% 25k $254k (exactly $253,546) RM120
HELLBREAK $14.99 275 76% 8.3k $124k (exactly $123,668) Double Barrel Games
Shooters, Ready! $4.99 807 99% 24k $121k (exactly $120,808) おこめたべたべず
Pih 2 $9.99 384 92% 12k $115k (exactly $115,085) BecomeANobody
Metal: Hellsinger VR $29.99 107 68% 3.2k $96k (exactly $96,268) Lab42, The Outsiders
UNYIELDER $24.99 117 62% 3.5k $88k (exactly $87,715) TrueWorld Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.