Do I ship it?

Games › FPS › FPS + Racing

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Racing FPS?

FPS + Racing

Of 48 developers who shipped a Racing FPS in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 70 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.9k, ×1.9 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $2.1M, ×1437 the market median. Revenue is up 85% on the market; 70 games are announced against 26 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 85% on the market, 70 announced, ×2.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
FPS + Racing
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 48
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.9k → $16k → $2.1k → $719 → $2.5k → $449 → $19k (still earning) → $959 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for FPS + Racing: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 48
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $2.9k (exactly $2,875)
Top 25% $10k (exactly $10,195)
Top 5% $2.2M (exactly $2,152,323)
Developers, 2 yr 48
Released games 202
Announced 70
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 85% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

FPS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Racing
effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle handling, track content and opponent AI

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
FPS, Racing; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Automobile Sim, Driving
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 3D, Realistic
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 39,247 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $2.9k, 1 in 4 over $10k, 1 in 20 over $2.1M.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 9 in 10 of the 37 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 70 games are announced against 26 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

FPS with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LGBTQ+Fair28 devs · median $32k · 22 announced
  2. + Dating SimFair47 devs · median $19k · 36 announced
  3. + IdlerFair22 devs · median $4.2k · 23 announced
  4. + GamblingFair24 devs · median $4.1k · 22 announced
  5. + FaithFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 12 announced
  6. + Precision PlatformerFair37 devs · median $1.6k · 38 announced
  7. + Martial ArtsFair13 devs · median $1.4k · 12 announced
  8. + Walking SimulatorFair172 devs · median $1.2k · 190 announced
  9. + RunnerLong shot39 devs · median $958 · 43 announced
  10. + Action RTSLong shot16 devs · median $899 · 21 announced
  11. + Bullet HellLong shot130 devs · median $629 · 145 announced
  12. + DogsLong shot6 devs · median $594 · 7 announced

All 216 pairs on the FPS page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Brick Rigs 2023 · $32M RAGE 2 2019 · $17M Drive Beyond Horizons 2025 · EA · $13M Tower Unite 2025 · $9.7M RAGE 2011 · $3.7M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Brick Rigs older $19.99 53,749 95% 1.6M $32M (exactly $32,233,275) Fluppisoft GmbH
RAGE 2 older $39.99 14,019 64% 421k $17M (exactly $16,818,594) id Software, Avalanche Studios
Drive Beyond Horizons · EA $24.99 17,903 77% 537k $13M (exactly $13,421,879) Drive Beyond Horizons
Tower Unite $19.99 16,237 89% 487k $9.7M (exactly $9,737,329) PixelTail Games
RAGE older $9.99 12,230 76% 367k $3.7M (exactly $3,665,331) id Software
Car Service Together · EA $19.99 3,589 79% 108k $2.2M (exactly $2,152,323) V12 Studio
Cyber Hook older $14.99 3,102 95% 93k $1.4M (exactly $1,394,969) Blazing Stick
Blockland older $9.99 3,326 70% 100k $997k (exactly $996,802) Eric Hartman, Ben Garney, Anthony Roton… (Eric Hartman, Ben Garney, Anthony Rotondo)
SEUM: Speedrunners from Hell older $14.99 2,050 95% 62k $922k (exactly $921,885) Pine Studio
The Slaverian Trucker $11.99 789 85% 24k $284k (exactly $283,803) SawyerK Games
Dino Ramen Express · EA $14.99 160 72% 4.8k $72k (exactly $71,952) ANTIGames
Rent A Car Simulator 24 $12.99 154 53% 4.6k $60k (exactly $60,014) 2MEDYA
Car Service Simulator · EA $6.99 190 51% 5.7k $40k (exactly $39,843) Red Axe Games
CyberTaxi: Lunatic Nights · EA $13.99 68 55% 2.0k $29k (exactly $28,540) Hed Media Games
CatboyZOOM · EA $9.99 95 97% 2.9k $28k (exactly $28,472) Ethan Vuong, Brae Stoltz
Sex Beats $9.99 62 77% 1.9k $19k (exactly $18,581) Naku Kinoko

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.