Do I ship it?

Games › FPS › FPS + Quick-Time Events

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Quick-Time Events FPS?

FPS + Quick-Time Events

Of 21 developers who shipped a Quick-Time Events FPS in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 31 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $480 in the last 2 years and $480 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build. 11 developers shipped in the last year and 31 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 70% on the market, 31 announced, ×2.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
FPS + Quick-Time Events
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 21
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.1k → $299 → $899 → $3.4k → $90 (still earning) → $480 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for FPS + Quick-Time Events: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 21
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $480 (exactly $480)
Top 25% $2.0k (exactly $1,978)
Top 5% $187k (exactly $186,601)
Developers, 2 yr 21
Released games 61
Announced 31
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $10.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

FPS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Quick-Time Events
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
FPS, Quick-Time Events; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Immersive Sim, Multiple Endings
Price point
$10.99 typical · top 25% priced $16.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 3D, Realistic
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $16.99 or above; the middle game at $10.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 2,651 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $480, 1 in 4 over $1.9k, 1 in 20 over $180k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 8 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 31 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

FPS with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LGBTQ+Fair28 devs · median $32k · 22 announced
  2. + Dating SimFair47 devs · median $19k · 36 announced
  3. + IdlerFair22 devs · median $4.2k · 23 announced
  4. + GamblingFair24 devs · median $4.1k · 22 announced
  5. + FaithFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 12 announced
  6. + Precision PlatformerFair37 devs · median $1.6k · 38 announced
  7. + Martial ArtsFair13 devs · median $1.4k · 12 announced
  8. + Walking SimulatorFair172 devs · median $1.2k · 190 announced
  9. + RunnerLong shot39 devs · median $958 · 43 announced
  10. + Action RTSLong shot16 devs · median $899 · 21 announced
  11. + Bullet HellLong shot130 devs · median $629 · 145 announced
  12. + DogsLong shot6 devs · median $594 · 7 announced

All 216 pairs on the FPS page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Call of Duty®: Black Ops III 2015 · $284M Call of Duty®: Infinite Warfare 2016 · $31M Call of Duty®: Advanced Warfare - Gold Edition 2014 · $13M Hello Love: 18 Again 2025 · $1.2M Blue Estate The Game 2015 · $590k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Call of Duty®: Black Ops III older $59.99 157,694 88% 4.7M $284M (exactly $283,801,892) Treyarch, Aspyr (Mac)
Call of Duty®: Infinite Warfare older $59.99 17,489 65% 525k $31M (exactly $31,474,953) Infinity Ward
Call of Duty®: Advanced Warfare - Gold Edition older $39.99 11,103 64% 333k $13M (exactly $13,320,269) Sledgehammer Games, Raven Software
Hello Love: 18 Again $19.99 2,075 92% 62k $1.2M (exactly $1,244,378) 念念而忘(Echofall Studio)
Blue Estate The Game older $12.99 1,515 92% 45k $590k (exactly $590,396) HE SAW
Rock Star Life Simulator $12.49 498 85% 15k $187k (exactly $186,601) HOGO Games
A.D. 2047 older $19.99 79 62% 2.4k $47k (exactly $47,376) Leenzee Games
C-4 older $24.99 48 93% 1.4k $36k (exactly $35,986) Microblast Games
Shooting Arena VR · EA older $12.99 28 85% 840 $11k (exactly $10,912) Infinity Studio
ATTACK OF THE EVIL POOP older $7.99 30 86% 900 $7.2k (exactly $7,191) AN Games
15th Prison $3.99 28 92% 840 $3.4k (exactly $3,352) Zettanium
Rage Room: Catharsis $16.99 6 33% 180 $3.1k (exactly $3,058) Revino Games
Night of the Dead Simulator $7.99 12 50% 360 $2.9k (exactly $2,876) Unknown People Lab
Medieval Tavern Simulator · EA $10.99 6 83% 180 $2.0k (exactly $1,978) Superwolf Game Studio
City 33 $15.99 3 0% 90 $1.4k (exactly $1,439) ebt studios
Impact to the Head $2.50 18 83% 540 $1.4k (exactly $1,350) W0nnaFight
Digitalink $11.99 3 100% 90 $1.1k (exactly $1,079) Metgan Games
King Quest $15.99 2 0% 60 $959 (exactly $959) slc studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.