Do I ship it?

Games › FPS › FPS + Puzzle Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Puzzle Platformer FPS?

FPS + Puzzle Platformer

Of 52 developers who shipped a Puzzle Platformer FPS in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 91 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300, ×0.2 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120. 91 games are announced against 28 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper, while revenue is down 25% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 25% on the market, 91 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
FPS + Puzzle Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 52
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.2k → $898 → $719 → $359 → $300 → $120 → $959 (still earning) → $148 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for FPS + Puzzle Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 52
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $297 (exactly $297)
Top 25% $3.1k (exactly $3,140)
Top 5% $21k (exactly $20,686)
Developers, 2 yr 52
Released games 196
Announced 91
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 25% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

FPS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Puzzle Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
FPS, Puzzle Platformer; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Puzzle, Action, Action-Adventure
Price point
$3.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 3D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 2,057 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $300, 1 in 4 over $3.1k, 1 in 20 over $20k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 35 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 91 games are announced against 28 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

FPS with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LGBTQ+Fair28 devs · median $32k · 22 announced
  2. + Dating SimFair47 devs · median $19k · 36 announced
  3. + IdlerFair22 devs · median $4.2k · 23 announced
  4. + GamblingFair24 devs · median $4.1k · 22 announced
  5. + FaithFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 12 announced
  6. + Precision PlatformerFair37 devs · median $1.6k · 38 announced
  7. + Martial ArtsFair13 devs · median $1.4k · 12 announced
  8. + Walking SimulatorFair172 devs · median $1.2k · 190 announced
  9. + RunnerLong shot39 devs · median $958 · 43 announced
  10. + Action RTSLong shot16 devs · median $899 · 21 announced
  11. + Bullet HellLong shot130 devs · median $629 · 145 announced
  12. + DogsLong shot6 devs · median $594 · 7 announced

All 216 pairs on the FPS page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Portal 2 2011 · $117M Portal 2007 · $52M Supraland 2019 · $7.4M In Sound Mind 2021 · $5.7M VLADiK BRUTAL 2024 · $3.4M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Portal 2 older $9.99 390,412 98% 12M $117M (exactly $117,006,476) Valve
Portal older $9.99 173,594 98% 5.2M $52M (exactly $52,026,122) Valve
Supraland older $19.99 12,376 95% 371k $7.4M (exactly $7,421,887) Supra Games
In Sound Mind older $34.99 5,467 95% 164k $5.7M (exactly $5,738,710) We Create Stuff
VLADiK BRUTAL older $11.99 9,551 89% 287k $3.4M (exactly $3,435,495) BRUTAL SOFTWARE
Supraland Six Inches Under older $19.99 3,975 96% 119k $2.4M (exactly $2,383,808) Supra Games
The Entropy Centre older $19.99 3,359 89% 101k $2.0M (exactly $2,014,392) Stubby Games
Supraworld · EA $29.99 1,471 91% 44k $1.3M (exactly $1,323,459) Supra Games
SEUM: Speedrunners from Hell older $14.99 2,050 95% 62k $922k (exactly $921,885) Pine Studio
Suicide Guy older $5.99 2,794 88% 84k $502k (exactly $502,082) Fabio Ferrara
Inferno Protocol · EA $13.49 144 79% 4.3k $58k (exactly $58,277) Tektonic Interactive
DeadCore Redux $14.99 46 93% 1.4k $21k (exactly $20,686) 5 Bits Games
Treasure Hunters: Raid Together $9.99 58 84% 1.7k $17k (exactly $17,383) Biax
SECTOR ZERO $3.99 138 93% 4.1k $17k (exactly $16,519) Ondrej Angelovic
Puzzle Parasite $14.99 29 93% 870 $13k (exactly $13,041) Wrenfall
TEAM PANIC $3.99 83 62% 2.5k $9.9k (exactly $9,935) Furko
Kinetic $7.99 40 92% 1.2k $9.6k (exactly $9,588) Lowraiz Games
Trigger of Time $7.99 33 93% 990 $7.9k (exactly $7,910) Pantopie
Rusty's Day Off: Episode One - Janitor on Duty $9.99 15 80% 450 $4.5k (exactly $4,496) Onestone Software

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.