Do I ship it?

Games › FPS › FPS + Point & Click

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Point & Click FPS?

FPS + Point & Click

Of 32 developers who shipped a Point & Click FPS in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 26 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $120 in the last 2 years and $240 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build. 17 developers shipped in the last year and 26 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 40% on the market, 26 announced, ×1.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
FPS + Point & Click
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 32
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $61 → $629 → $748 → $418 → $356 → $119 → $90 (still earning) → $14k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for FPS + Point & Click: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 32
Bottom 30% $59 (exactly $59)
Median $120 (exactly $120)
Top 25% $4.3k (exactly $4,309)
Top 5% $56k (exactly $55,744)
Developers, 2 yr 32
Released games 102
Announced 26
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

FPS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Point & Click
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
FPS, Point & Click; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Puzzle, Action
Price point
$3.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 2,738 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $59, median $120, 1 in 4 over $4.3k, 1 in 20 over $55k.

3 in 10 developers made under $59. Nearly all of the 20 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 26 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

FPS with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LGBTQ+Fair28 devs · median $32k · 22 announced
  2. + Dating SimFair47 devs · median $19k · 36 announced
  3. + IdlerFair22 devs · median $4.2k · 23 announced
  4. + GamblingFair24 devs · median $4.1k · 22 announced
  5. + FaithFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 12 announced
  6. + Precision PlatformerFair37 devs · median $1.6k · 38 announced
  7. + Martial ArtsFair13 devs · median $1.4k · 12 announced
  8. + Walking SimulatorFair172 devs · median $1.2k · 190 announced
  9. + RunnerLong shot39 devs · median $958 · 43 announced
  10. + Action RTSLong shot16 devs · median $899 · 21 announced
  11. + Bullet HellLong shot130 devs · median $629 · 145 announced
  12. + DogsLong shot6 devs · median $594 · 7 announced

All 216 pairs on the FPS page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Lost2 2022 · $663k Rhythia 2026 · EA · $243k Airline Tycoon Deluxe 2014 · $182k Zup! Zero 2017 · $154k Zup! 6 2017 · $147k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Lost2 older $15.99 1,382 81% 41k $663k (exactly $662,945) DSGame
Rhythia · EA $3.99 2,029 83% 61k $243k (exactly $242,871) Capo Games
Airline Tycoon Deluxe older $9.99 606 84% 18k $182k (exactly $181,618) Spellbound
Zup! Zero older $1.99 2,572 93% 77k $154k (exactly $153,548) Quiet River
Zup! 6 older $1.99 2,457 93% 74k $147k (exactly $146,683) Quiet River
Device Doctor Simulator 2024 $9.99 186 62% 5.6k $56k (exactly $55,744) Tenacity Games
Crabmeat $7.99 181 86% 5.4k $43k (exactly $43,386) Nicholas McDonnell, Mitchell Pasmans
C-4 older $24.99 48 93% 1.4k $36k (exactly $35,986) Microblast Games
Seek Girl Ⅷ older $1.99 574 52% 17k $34k (exactly $34,268) DSGame
Absolute-Full-Life $14.99 68 76% 2.0k $31k (exactly $30,580) The Only Way Out
Drywall Eating Simulator $9.99 50 76% 1.5k $15k (exactly $14,985) Peripheral Playbox
Life in red line · EA $17.99 26 76% 780 $14k (exactly $14,032) Pecha games
Farming Incremental But With Guns $3.99 113 88% 3.4k $14k (exactly $13,526) Clementine Wolf Games
Project Three · EA $7.99 39 23% 1.2k $9.3k (exactly $9,348) The Only Way Out
DISORDER - Save Your Family $3.99 36 86% 1.1k $4.3k (exactly $4,309) StonieDude
Pookie's Lingerie Shop $8.99 10 80% 300 $2.7k (exactly $2,697) Pookie

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.