Do I ship it?

GamesFPSFPS + Party Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Party Game FPS?

FPS + Party Game

Of 40 developers who shipped a Party Game FPS in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 118 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $270 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build. 35 developers shipped in the last year and 118 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 118 announced, ×3.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
FPS + Party Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 40
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $0 → $475 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for FPS + Party Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 40
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $270 (exactly $270)
Top 25% $1.4k (exactly $1,438)
Top 5% $187k (exactly $186,770)
Developers, 2 yr 40
Released games 57
Announced 118
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.49

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply 600% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 25%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

FPS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Party Game
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
FPS, Party Game; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry PvP, Action, Co-op
Price point
$5.49 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Funny, First-Person, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $5.49.

The top 10 games average 75% positive over 3,982 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $270, 1 in 4 over $1.4k, 1 in 20 over $180k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 6 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 118 games are announced against 35 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

FPS with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LGBTQ+Fair28 devs · median $32k · 22 announced
  2. + Dating SimFair47 devs · median $19k · 36 announced
  3. + IdlerFair22 devs · median $4.2k · 23 announced
  4. + GamblingFair24 devs · median $4.1k · 22 announced
  5. + FaithFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 12 announced
  6. + Precision PlatformerFair37 devs · median $1.6k · 38 announced
  7. + Martial ArtsFair13 devs · median $1.4k · 12 announced
  8. + Walking SimulatorFair172 devs · median $1.2k · 190 announced
  9. + RunnerLong shot39 devs · median $958 · 43 announced
  10. + Action RTSLong shot16 devs · median $899 · 21 announced
  11. + Bullet HellLong shot130 devs · median $629 · 145 announced
  12. + DogsLong shot6 devs · median $594 · 7 announced

All 216 pairs on the FPS page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Neighbors: Suburban Warfare · EA $9.99 1,906 66% 57k $571k (exactly $571,228) Invisible Walls
Bogos Binted? $5.49 1,134 91% 34k $187k (exactly $186,770) underbadger
Midnight Murder Club $9.99 304 71% 9.1k $91k (exactly $91,109) Velan Studios
Deducto 2 older $4.99 450 91% 14k $67k (exactly $67,365) Red Fox Studios
WISE GUYS · EA $8.99 194 90% 5.8k $52k (exactly $52,322) StonieDude
Baking Bad · EA $10.99 123 32% 3.7k $41k (exactly $40,553) FunkyArmor
Shady job $7.99 114 70% 3.4k $27k (exactly $27,326) GAZE IN GAMES
Prop Hunt 2.0 older $12.99 53 30% 1.6k $21k (exactly $20,654) HorseGames
Cheater's Table · EA $6.99 69 95% 2.1k $14k (exactly $14,469) Lagari
Chaotic Conflicts $1.99 97 88% 2.9k $5.8k (exactly $5,791) Steampunk
YEKO · EA $3.99 33 57% 990 $4.0k (exactly $3,950) BEGA Game Studio
Ghost Gunners $5.99 8 100% 240 $1.4k (exactly $1,438) Turtlecode Labs

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.