Do I ship it?

Games › FPS › FPS + Parkour

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Parkour FPS?

FPS + Parkour

Of 75 developers who shipped a Parkour FPS in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 160 more are announced, ×3.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.0k, ×1.3 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $670k, ×448 the market median. Revenue is up 135% on the market; 160 games are announced against 43 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 135% on the market, 160 announced, ×3.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
FPS + Parkour
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 75
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.7k → $8.6k → $3.3k → $4.3k → $2.0k → $599 → $3.5k (still earning) → $2.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for FPS + Parkour: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 75
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $2.0k (exactly $1,973)
Top 25% $9.6k (exactly $9,588)
Top 5% $670k (exactly $670,441)
Developers, 2 yr 75
Released games 284
Announced 160
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 135% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 27%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

FPS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Parkour
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
FPS, Parkour; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Shooter, 3D Platformer
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 3D, Stylized
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 30,375 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $2.0k, 1 in 4 over $9.5k, 1 in 20 over $670k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 50 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 160 games are announced against 43 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

FPS with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LGBTQ+Fair28 devs · median $32k · 22 announced
  2. + Dating SimFair47 devs · median $19k · 36 announced
  3. + IdlerFair22 devs · median $4.2k · 23 announced
  4. + GamblingFair24 devs · median $4.1k · 22 announced
  5. + FaithFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 12 announced
  6. + Precision PlatformerFair37 devs · median $1.6k · 38 announced
  7. + Martial ArtsFair13 devs · median $1.4k · 12 announced
  8. + Walking SimulatorFair172 devs · median $1.2k · 190 announced
  9. + RunnerLong shot39 devs · median $958 · 43 announced
  10. + Action RTSLong shot16 devs · median $899 · 21 announced
  11. + Bullet HellLong shot130 devs · median $629 · 145 announced
  12. + DogsLong shot6 devs · median $594 · 7 announced

All 216 pairs on the FPS page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Call of Duty®: Black Ops III 2015 · $284M Dying Light 2015 · $280M Titanfall® 2 2020 · $229M Watch_Dogs® 2 2016 · $143M DEATHLOOP 2021 · $36M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Call of Duty®: Black Ops III older $59.99 157,694 88% 4.7M $284M (exactly $283,801,892) Treyarch, Aspyr (Mac)
Dying Light older $24.99 373,413 95% 11M $280M (exactly $279,947,726) Techland
Titanfall® 2 older $29.99 255,050 95% 7.7M $229M (exactly $229,468,485) Respawn Entertainment
Watch_Dogs® 2 older $49.99 95,242 82% 2.9M $143M (exactly $142,834,427) Ubisoft
DEATHLOOP older $59.99 19,910 76% 597k $36M (exactly $35,832,027) Arkane Studios
Outlast 2 older $19.99 54,239 90% 1.6M $33M (exactly $32,527,128) Red Barrels
BONEWORKS older $29.99 34,141 92% 1.0M $31M (exactly $30,716,658) Stress Level Zero
Shadow Warrior 2 older $29.99 24,120 87% 724k $22M (exactly $21,700,764) Flying Wild Hog
Neon White older $24.99 17,259 97% 518k $13M (exactly $12,939,072) Angel Matrix
Tom Clancy’s Splinter Cell Blacklist older $19.99 19,309 78% 579k $12M (exactly $11,579,607) Ubisoft Toronto
White Knuckle · EA $16.99 13,356 98% 401k $6.8M (exactly $6,807,553) Dark Machine Games
Echo Point Nova $24.99 7,521 96% 226k $5.6M (exactly $5,638,494) Greylock Studio
Killer Bean · EA $14.99 2,272 73% 68k $1.0M (exactly $1,021,718) Killer Bean Studios LLC
Pratfall $7.99 2,797 90% 84k $670k (exactly $670,441) Quad Head
Shady Knight $19.99 898 93% 27k $539k (exactly $538,531) Alexey 'cptnsigh'
EMPULSE · EA $9.99 1,701 60% 51k $510k (exactly $509,790) 1047 Games
Brush Burial: Gutter World $9.99 838 93% 25k $251k (exactly $251,149) Knife Demon Software
BAIONLENJA · EA $12.99 510 97% 15k $199k (exactly $198,747) BAION
Pih 2 $9.99 384 92% 12k $115k (exactly $115,085) BecomeANobody
Graffism VR - Graffiti Simulator · EA $24.99 98 86% 2.9k $73k (exactly $73,471) VRiteLabs

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.