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Should I ship an Outbreak Sim FPS?
FPS + Outbreak Sim
Only 11 developers shipped an Outbreak Sim FPS in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, No More Room in Hell 2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $4.0k, ×2.6 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $960; 1 in 20 cleared $15M, ×10045 the market median. Revenue is up 905% on the market; 19 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $958 (exactly $958) |
|---|---|
| Median | $4.0k (exactly $3,957) |
| Top 25% | $125k (exactly $124,871) |
| Top 5% | $15M (exactly $15,047,482) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 11 |
| Released games | 36 |
| Announced | 19 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 905% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- FPS
- effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
- Outbreak Sim
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- FPS, Outbreak Sim
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 61% positive over 17,884 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $960. 6 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 19 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
FPS with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + Dating SimFair
- + IdlerFair
- + GamblingFair
- + FaithFair
- + Precision PlatformerFair
- + Martial ArtsFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + RunnerLong shot
- + Action RTSLong shot
- + Bullet HellLong shot
- + DogsLong shot
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | No More Room in Hell 2 | $29.99 | 16,725 62% | 502k | $15M (exactly $15,047,482) | Torn Banner Studios | |
| | Project L33T: Founders Edition | $19.99 | 525 47% | 16k | $315k (exactly $314,842) | Targetpoint Interactive, Holmgard Games | |
| | Afterinfection | $8.99 | 463 56% | 14k | $125k (exactly $124,871) | RePatrick21 | |
| | Perfect Heist | older | $4.99 | 398 76% | 12k | $60k (exactly $59,581) | yeswecamp |
| | Baby Blues Nightmares - Toddler Horror Game | older | $12.99 | 93 91% | 2.8k | $36k (exactly $36,242) | Steelkrill Studio |
| | Colonies of The Remnant | · EA | $13.99 | 71 7% | 2.1k | $30k (exactly $29,799) | Cat Soul Studios |
| | Zero Tolerance | older | $11.99 | 65 80% | 2.0k | $23k (exactly $23,380) | Technopop |
| | Quarantine Zombies: Contamination | $9.99 | 74 48% | 2.2k | $22k (exactly $22,178) | Stones Games | |
| | Last Generation: Survival | older | $19.99 | 20 50% | 600 | $12k (exactly $11,994) | Furious Dogs |
| | ZAR | older | $9.99 | 17 64% | 510 | $5.1k (exactly $5,095) | PancakeGames |
| | Backrooms: Partygoers | $11.99 | 11 90% | 330 | $4.0k (exactly $3,957) | Mascot Bro Studio | |
| | Augmented Fear | $9.99 | 5 100% | 150 | $1.5k (exactly $1,498) | OneFurInTheBox | |
| | The spring | $3.99 | 8 75% | 240 | $958 (exactly $958) | Akaji Games | |
| | Now | $2.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $90 (exactly $90) | Fetih Emirkulu | |
| | Chicken Up | $1.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $60 (exactly $60) | Chunky Cats Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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