Should I ship a Noir FPS?
FPS + Noir
Only 18 developers shipped a Noir FPS in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, MOUSE: P.I. For Hire, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 48 more are announced, ×5.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $7.6k, ×5.0 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $13M, ×8771 the market median. Revenue is down 20% on the market; 48 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $597 (exactly $597) |
|---|---|
| Median | $7.6k (exactly $7,552) |
| Top 25% | $31k (exactly $31,180) |
| Top 5% | $13M (exactly $13,139,219) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 18 |
| Released games | 74 |
| Announced | 48 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 20% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- FPS; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Shooter, Arena Shooter
- Price point
- $6.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Stylized, 1990's
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.
The top 10 games average 90% positive over 18,760 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $600. 6 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 48 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
FPS with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + Dating SimFair
- + IdlerFair
- + GamblingFair
- + FaithFair
- + Precision PlatformerFair
- + Martial ArtsFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + RunnerLong shot
- + Action RTSLong shot
- + Bullet HellLong shot
- + DogsLong shot
Comparable games
MOUSE: P.I. For Hire 2026 · $13M 
Fallen Aces 2024 · EA · $3.0M 
Psycho Patrol R 2025 · EA · $2.5M 
Better Than Dead 2026 · EA · $675k 
Lost2 2022 · $663k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | MOUSE: P.I. For Hire | $29.99 | 14,604 93% | 438k | $13M (exactly $13,139,219) | Fumi Games | |
| | Fallen Aces | · EA older | $14.99 | 6,608 96% | 198k | $3.0M (exactly $2,971,618) | Trey Powell, Jason Bond |
| | Psycho Patrol R | · EA | $39.99 | 2,090 88% | 63k | $2.5M (exactly $2,507,373) | Consumer Softproducts |
| | Better Than Dead | · EA | $14.99 | 1,500 72% | 45k | $675k (exactly $674,550) | MONTE GALLO |
| | Lost2 | older | $15.99 | 1,382 81% | 41k | $663k (exactly $662,945) | DSGame |
 | Fashion Police Squad | older | $19.99 | 872 90% | 26k | $523k (exactly $522,938) | Mopeful Games |
 | Hellbreach: Vegas | older | $14.99 | 504 74% | 15k | $227k (exactly $226,649) | Infinity Ape Studios |
 | Thirty Flights of Loving | older | $4.99 | 1,284 70% | 39k | $192k (exactly $192,215) | Blendo Games |
 | illWill | older | $19.99 | 279 91% | 8.4k | $167k (exactly $167,316) | Slava Bushuev |
 | KINGDOM of the DEAD | older | $14.99 | 329 78% | 9.9k | $148k (exactly $147,951) | DIRIGO GAMES |
 | Midnight Murder Club | $9.99 | 304 71% | 9.1k | $91k (exactly $91,109) | Velan Studios | |
 | TEXNOPLAZM | · EA | $15.99 | 65 98% | 2.0k | $31k (exactly $31,180) | Mothership Loudspeakerz |
 | Outbreak: Shades of Horror Chromatic Split | $24.99 | 24 50% | 720 | $18k (exactly $17,993) | Dead Drop Studios LLC | |
 | Cheater's Table | · EA | $6.99 | 69 95% | 2.1k | $14k (exactly $14,469) | Lagari |
 | Operator8 | $6.99 | 50 82% | 1.5k | $10k (exactly $10,485) | Aligned Games | |
 | Witness the Dark - Episode 1 - Bloody Burger | $8.99 | 28 75% | 840 | $7.6k (exactly $7,552) | Cold Narrative | |
 | Kuromaku | $5.99 | 26 76% | 780 | $4.7k (exactly $4,672) | BabGamesStudio |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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