Should I ship a Mythological FPS?
FPS + Mythology
Of 28 developers who shipped a Mythological FPS in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 37 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $4.7k, ×3.2 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $900; 1 in 20 cleared $650k, ×438 the market median. Revenue is up 325% on the market; 37 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $899 (exactly $899) |
|---|---|
| Median | $4.7k (exactly $4,725) |
| Top 25% | $42k (exactly $41,734) |
| Top 5% | $657k (exactly $656,815) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 28 |
| Released games | 76 |
| Announced | 37 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 325% on the market, supply 40% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- FPS; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action-Adventure, Exploration
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Atmospheric, Story Rich
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 85% positive over 5,232 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $900. 7 in 10 of the 22 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 37 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
FPS with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + Dating SimFair
- + IdlerFair
- + GamblingFair
- + FaithFair
- + Precision PlatformerFair
- + Martial ArtsFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + RunnerLong shot
- + Action RTSLong shot
- + Bullet HellLong shot
- + DogsLong shot
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | BLACKTAIL | older | $29.99 | 1,968 83% | 59k | $1.8M (exactly $1,770,610) | THE PARASIGHT |
| | Labyrinth Of The Demon King | $19.99 | 2,116 92% | 63k | $1.3M (exactly $1,268,965) | J. R. Hudepohl | |
| | Folklore Hunter | $17.99 | 1,217 75% | 37k | $657k (exactly $656,815) | Liquid Donkey Games | |
| | Unforgiving - A Northern Hymn | older | $14.99 | 1,437 82% | 43k | $646k (exactly $646,219) | Angry Demon Studio |
| | The Shore | older | $11.99 | 1,763 70% | 53k | $634k (exactly $634,151) | Ares Dragonis |
| | UMIGARI | ウミガリ | $12.99 | 1,029 82% | 31k | $401k (exactly $401,001) | Chilla's Art | |
| | Legendary | older | $5.99 | 2,184 57% | 66k | $392k (exactly $392,465) | Spark Unlimited |
| | The Axis Unseen | $24.99 | 309 75% | 9.3k | $232k (exactly $231,657) | Just Purkey Games | |
| | MetaPhysical | older | $14.99 | 288 83% | 8.6k | $130k (exactly $129,514) | Paper Promises Programming |
| | White Hell | · EA older | $14.99 | 192 94% | 5.8k | $86k (exactly $86,342) | Robert Raulus, Mikko Tamper, Antti Allén |
| | Death Relives | $12.99 | 196 81% | 5.9k | $76k (exactly $76,381) | Nyctophile Studios | |
| | Blood Rush | · EA | $14.49 | 161 98% | 4.8k | $70k (exactly $69,987) | MaxEstLa |
| | Vilde | $15.99 | 87 74% | 2.6k | $42k (exactly $41,734) | Chaotic Minds | |
| | Vienkiemis | · EA | $12.99 | 44 100% | 1.3k | $17k (exactly $17,147) | dssob, SMEIVIS |
| | Seth | $12.99 | 36 77% | 1.1k | $14k (exactly $14,029) | Chaotic Games | |
| | Steel Judgment | · EA | $9.99 | 37 100% | 1.1k | $11k (exactly $11,089) | Gid Is Dead |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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