Do I ship it?

GamesMOBAMOBA + FPS

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an FPS MOBA?

MOBA + FPS

Only 17 developers shipped a paid FPS MOBA in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, STARVAULT VR, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 4 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 31 more are announced, ×6.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 9 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $150 in the last 2 years and $180 over 4, against a market of $1.3k for a 9 / 10 build. 5 developers shipped in the last year and 31 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 615% on the market, 31 announced, ×6.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
MOBA + FPS
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $267 → $119 → $899 → $479 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for MOBA + FPS: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $150 (exactly $150)
Top 25% $899 (exactly $899)
Top 5% $49k (exactly $49,480)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 60
Announced 31
Effort 9 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 615% on the market, supply 60% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 40%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

MOBA
effort 9 / 10 · low · competitive netcode plus a balanced hero roster
FPS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
9 / 10 · studio only
Systems
MOBA, FPS; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Shooter, Co-op
Price point
$3.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 67% positive over 564 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $150, 1 in 4 over $890, 1 in 20 over $49k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 8 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 31 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

MOBA with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RoguelitePoor odds10 devs · median $3.9k · 15 announced
  2. + AdventurePoor odds12 devs · median $3.1k · 44 announced
  3. + Tower DefensePoor odds7 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  4. + FantasyPoor odds18 devs · median $2.7k · 85 announced
  5. + Character CustomizationPoor odds10 devs · median $1.8k · 40 announced
  6. + Online Co-OpPoor odds19 devs · median $600 · 57 announced
  7. + Co-opPoor odds21 devs · median $479 · 53 announced
  8. + ActionPoor odds53 devs · median $359 · 170 announced
  9. + SimulationPoor odds12 devs · median $359 · 33 announced
  10. + RPGPoor odds23 devs · median $180 · 73 announced
  11. + Hero ShooterDead5 devs · median $49k · 24 announced
  12. + SurvivalDead6 devs · median $31k · 22 announced

All 50 pairs on the MOBA page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Bishojo Mangekyo Kotowari to Meikyu no Shojo older $29.99 2,718 95% 82k $2.4M (exactly $2,445,385) ωstar, Seikei Production
AXYOS older $4.99 1,629 52% 49k $244k (exactly $243,861) Axyos Games
Taboos: Cracks older $1.99 1,609 80% 48k $96k (exactly $96,057) DSGame
STARVAULT VR $24.99 66 89% 2.0k $49k (exactly $49,480) Theia Games
The AC130 slays the zombies. $3.99 377 63% 11k $45k (exactly $45,127) 汪双羽
Tsundere Idol older $9.99 84 64% 2.5k $25k (exactly $25,175) Norn
Source Code $19.99 33 60% 990 $20k (exactly $19,790) Blitzball.Inc
FMTC $7.00 75 78% 2.3k $16k (exactly $15,750) FMTC
Sentry:Obelisk Of Dawn older $19.99 6 100% 180 $3.6k (exactly $3,598) Guangzhou NineD Digital Technology Co.,… (Guangzhou NineD Digital Technology Co.,Ltd)
Warriors Of Titus older $19.99 5 100% 150 $3.0k (exactly $2,998) Martin Kutlak
ShadowStrikeVR · EA $9.99 3 0% 90 $899 (exactly $899) Charming Game Studio
Handgun Football $3.99 4 50% 120 $479 (exactly $479) )erek(
Fireworks-Bomb-GoodFriends $5.99 2 100% 60 $359 (exactly $359) MentalHospital
Drone:Modern Warfare $2.99 2 0% 60 $179 (exactly $179) AndyKwok008
Bepe War $5.00 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) BepeDev
GGO 枪战火线 $4.99 1 0% 30 $150 (exactly $150) 布工作室, Cloth Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.