Do I ship it?

GamesFPSFPS + Mining

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mining FPS?

FPS + Mining

Only 9 developers shipped a Mining FPS in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Island Notes, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced, ×5.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $5.3k, ×3.5 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $59; 1 in 20 cleared $340k, ×230 the market median. Revenue is up 235% on the market; 28 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 235% on the market, 28 announced, ×5.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
FPS + Mining
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for FPS + Mining: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $59 (exactly $59)
Median $5.3k (exactly $5,273)
Top 25% $8.1k (exactly $8,084)
Top 5% $344k (exactly $344,495)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 30
Announced 28
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 235% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

FPS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Mining
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
FPS, Mining
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 8 games average 79% positive over 1,500 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $59, median $5.3k, 1 in 4 over $8.0k, 1 in 20 over $340k.

3 in 10 developers made under $59. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 28 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

FPS with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LGBTQ+Fair28 devs · median $32k · 22 announced
  2. + Dating SimFair47 devs · median $19k · 36 announced
  3. + IdlerFair22 devs · median $4.2k · 23 announced
  4. + GamblingFair24 devs · median $4.1k · 22 announced
  5. + FaithFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 12 announced
  6. + Precision PlatformerFair37 devs · median $1.6k · 38 announced
  7. + Martial ArtsFair13 devs · median $1.4k · 12 announced
  8. + Walking SimulatorFair172 devs · median $1.2k · 190 announced
  9. + RunnerLong shot39 devs · median $958 · 43 announced
  10. + Action RTSLong shot16 devs · median $899 · 21 announced
  11. + Bullet HellLong shot130 devs · median $629 · 145 announced
  12. + DogsLong shot6 devs · median $594 · 7 announced

All 216 pairs on the FPS page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Island Notes $12.99 884 82% 27k $344k (exactly $344,495) KangBaoGame
Nuclear Epoch $14.99 487 78% 15k $219k (exactly $219,004) Cat Play Studio
Hazeron Starship older $19.99 55 70% 1.7k $33k (exactly $32,984) Hazeron Freehold LLC
PostCollapse older $7.99 127 56% 3.8k $30k (exactly $30,442) Ambiera
Red Moon: Survival older $13.99 39 56% 1.2k $16k (exactly $16,368) WMG
仙道孤旅 · EA older $8.99 53 84% 1.6k $14k (exactly $14,294) 仙道
Wild Frontier older $13.99 32 56% 960 $13k (exactly $13,430) AMMC
Digging the Forgotten Cave $4.99 54 75% 1.6k $8.1k (exactly $8,084) Cavernauts
Dig For Riches $7.99 23 52% 690 $5.5k (exactly $5,513) OxygenStudio
Internal Extraction $7.99 22 77% 660 $5.3k (exactly $5,273) LuisDev
Submeris $4.99 19 57% 570 $2.8k (exactly $2,844) OxygenStudio
GCS: Salvage Rat $9.99 9 22% 270 $2.7k (exactly $2,697) Stellar Forge Works
Miner to Die $0.99 2 100% 60 $59 (exactly $59) Mercimek Games
Otherwise $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) MonstrCorp
Avatar Quest Online · EA $5.00 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) lv10.jp

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.