Do I ship it?

GamesFPSFPS + Grand Strategy

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Grand Strategy FPS?

FPS + Grand Strategy

Only 11 developers shipped a Grand Strategy FPS in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Death row inmates on the run 2--The Resistance, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $120 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build. 6 developers shipped in the last year and 14 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 45% on the market, 14 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
FPS + Grand Strategy
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $52k → $3.1k → $959 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for FPS + Grand Strategy: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $120 (exactly $120)
Top 25% $3.1k (exactly $3,148)
Top 5% $18k (exactly $18,034)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 34
Announced 14
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 45% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

FPS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Grand Strategy
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
FPS, Grand Strategy
Price point
$3.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 7 games average 74% positive over 206 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $120, 1 in 4 over $3.1k, 1 in 20 over $18k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 14 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

FPS with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LGBTQ+Fair28 devs · median $32k · 22 announced
  2. + Dating SimFair47 devs · median $19k · 36 announced
  3. + IdlerFair22 devs · median $4.2k · 23 announced
  4. + GamblingFair24 devs · median $4.1k · 22 announced
  5. + FaithFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 12 announced
  6. + Precision PlatformerFair37 devs · median $1.6k · 38 announced
  7. + Martial ArtsFair13 devs · median $1.4k · 12 announced
  8. + Walking SimulatorFair172 devs · median $1.2k · 190 announced
  9. + RunnerLong shot39 devs · median $958 · 43 announced
  10. + Action RTSLong shot16 devs · median $899 · 21 announced
  11. + Bullet HellLong shot130 devs · median $629 · 145 announced
  12. + DogsLong shot6 devs · median $594 · 7 announced

All 216 pairs on the FPS page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Total Conflict: Resistance · EA older $29.99 5,089 74% 153k $4.6M (exactly $4,578,573) Thunder Devs.
Home Wars older $9.99 1,141 78% 34k $342k (exactly $341,958) Insane Dreamers
Attack on Toys · EA older $6.99 1,158 93% 35k $243k (exactly $242,833) N7T-GAMES
Street Lords older $14.99 115 57% 3.5k $52k (exactly $51,716) Studio HK
Hypnosis Card older $4.99 216 71% 6.5k $32k (exactly $32,335) Naku Kinoko
Death row inmates on the run 2--The Resistance $6.99 86 55% 2.6k $18k (exactly $18,034) zzzgame
Trump Simulator 2025 $3.99 106 91% 3.2k $13k (exactly $12,688) Luke Gayson
We Need To Cook - Drug Empire Simulator older $4.99 84 58% 2.5k $13k (exactly $12,575) Harold Crow
Inheritors2078 older $11.99 19 63% 570 $6.8k (exactly $6,834) Elhaitham Ashmawy, Mohamed Eshmawy, Nou… (Elhaitham Ashmawy, Mohamed Eshmawy, Nour Ashmawy)
Bank Robber older $2.99 47 68% 1.4k $4.2k (exactly $4,216) Softwaves
Scionide · EA $14.99 7 71% 210 $3.1k (exactly $3,148) SYONIX
King Quest $15.99 2 0% 60 $959 (exactly $959) slc studios
Reality Rifts $3.99 2 50% 60 $239 (exactly $239) Infinity Requiem Studio
Escape the Maze · EA $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) Fatih CALISKAN
Beyond The Second Hour $1.25 2 50% 60 $75 (exactly $75) Mohamed Samy
The graveyard duty fall of the last demon · EA $14.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Faustina Mutamba
Exodus Frontier: The Last Stand $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Shupernom LTD
The Secret of Island of Fear $10.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Hamza sonay, Yusuf sonay, Mustafa baş

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.