Should I ship a Gothic FPS?
FPS + Gothic
Of 24 developers who shipped a Gothic FPS in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 61 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.0k, ×0.7 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $540. 61 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper, while revenue is flat on the market.
| Bottom 30% | $539 (exactly $539) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.0k (exactly $1,040) |
| Top 25% | $3.6k (exactly $3,593) |
| Top 5% | $805k (exactly $804,513) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 24 |
| Released games | 75 |
| Announced | 61 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 145% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- FPS; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Boomer Shooter, Shooter
- Price point
- $6.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Gore, Retro
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.
The top 10 games average 84% positive over 5,410 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $540. 8 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 61 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
FPS with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + Dating SimFair
- + IdlerFair
- + GamblingFair
- + FaithFair
- + Precision PlatformerFair
- + Martial ArtsFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + RunnerLong shot
- + Action RTSLong shot
- + Bullet HellLong shot
- + DogsLong shot
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Metal: Hellsinger | older | $29.99 | 13,989 96% | 420k | $13M (exactly $12,585,903) | The Outsiders |
| | Gloomwood | · EA older | $19.99 | 7,495 95% | 225k | $4.5M (exactly $4,494,752) | Dillon Rogers, David Szymanski, Nate Be… (Dillon Rogers, David Szymanski, Nate Berens, Thomas Porta) |
| | Painkiller | $39.99 | 1,091 54% | 33k | $1.3M (exactly $1,308,873) | Anshar Studios | |
| | Heretic + Hexen | $14.99 | 1,789 95% | 54k | $805k (exactly $804,513) | id Software, Nightdive Studios | |
| | Witch Hunt | older | $9.99 | 2,291 88% | 69k | $687k (exactly $686,613) | Gua |
| | Painkiller: Black Edition | older | $9.99 | 1,928 89% | 58k | $578k (exactly $577,822) | People Can Fly |
| | Sin Spire | $9.99 | 1,580 88% | 47k | $474k (exactly $473,526) | Krasue Games | |
| | Warhammer 40,000: Battle Sister | older | $19.99 | 596 70% | 18k | $357k (exactly $357,421) | Soul Assembly Ltd |
| | Brush Burial: Gutter World | $9.99 | 838 93% | 25k | $251k (exactly $251,149) | Knife Demon Software | |
| | Nosferatu: The Wrath of Malachi | older | $2.99 | 1,581 90% | 47k | $142k (exactly $141,816) | Idol FX |
| | MEAT 2 | · EA | $14.99 | 17 88% | 510 | $7.6k (exactly $7,645) | Trippin Bears |
| | CrimSaw | $4.99 | 24 87% | 720 | $3.6k (exactly $3,593) | SkyBrave | |
| | The Deathmind | $2.99 | 35 74% | 1.1k | $3.1k (exactly $3,140) | Etnabyte Games | |
| | Runeblight | · EA | $6.99 | 14 100% | 420 | $2.9k (exactly $2,936) | Zero Percent Juice |
| | VILE | $5.99 | 10 70% | 300 | $1.8k (exactly $1,797) | Moonbit | |
| | Witch Stories | $4.99 | 12 91% | 360 | $1.8k (exactly $1,796) | Stephen Scott Day |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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