Do I ship it?

Games › FPS › FPS + Fishing

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Fishing FPS?

FPS + Fishing

Only 14 developers shipped a Fishing FPS in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, How to Fish, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $8.8k, ×5.9 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.3k; 1 in 20 cleared $13M, ×9227 the market median. Revenue is up 11110% on the market; 29 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 5.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 11110% on the market, 29 announced, ×3.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
FPS + Fishing
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.4k → $8.8k → $168k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for FPS + Fishing: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $1.3k (exactly $1,258)
Median $8.8k (exactly $8,814)
Top 25% $240k (exactly $239,760)
Top 5% $14M (exactly $13,821,342)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 29
Announced 29
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 11110% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

FPS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Fishing
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
FPS, Fishing; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Online Co-Op
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Nonlinear
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 61,170 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.3k, median $8.8k, 1 in 4 over $230k, 1 in 20 over $13M.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.3k. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 29 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

FPS with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LGBTQ+Fair28 devs · median $32k · 22 announced
  2. + Dating SimFair47 devs · median $19k · 36 announced
  3. + IdlerFair22 devs · median $4.2k · 23 announced
  4. + GamblingFair24 devs · median $4.1k · 22 announced
  5. + FaithFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 12 announced
  6. + Precision PlatformerFair37 devs · median $1.6k · 38 announced
  7. + Martial ArtsFair13 devs · median $1.4k · 12 announced
  8. + Walking SimulatorFair172 devs · median $1.2k · 190 announced
  9. + RunnerLong shot39 devs · median $958 · 43 announced
  10. + Action RTSLong shot16 devs · median $899 · 21 announced
  11. + Bullet HellLong shot130 devs · median $629 · 145 announced
  12. + DogsLong shot6 devs · median $594 · 7 announced

All 216 pairs on the FPS page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

How to Fish 2026 · $14M Ultimate Fishing Simulator® 2018 · $5.0M Shoppe Keep 2 2019 · $458k UMIGARI | ウミガリ 2026 · $401k Island Notes 2025 · $344k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
How to Fish $7.99 57,661 95% 1.7M $14M (exactly $13,821,342) Dazed Games
Ultimate Fishing Simulator® older $19.99 8,256 89% 248k $5.0M (exactly $4,951,123) Ultimate Games S.A., Bit Golem
Shoppe Keep 2 older $9.99 1,527 57% 46k $458k (exactly $457,642) Strange Fire
UMIGARI | ウミガリ $12.99 1,029 82% 31k $401k (exactly $401,001) Chilla's Art
Island Notes $12.99 884 82% 27k $344k (exactly $344,495) KangBaoGame
Voodoo Fishin' · EA $9.99 800 81% 24k $240k (exactly $239,760) Lost Arcade
Survival Nation older $29.99 235 70% 7.1k $211k (exactly $211,430) Wenkly Studio Sp. z o.o.
Fish Hunters: Most Lethal Fishing Simulator 🐟 $9.99 562 58% 17k $168k (exactly $168,431) Pmdk23
Project Hunt older $24.99 155 88% 4.7k $116k (exactly $116,204) Mind Mythic
DREAMWILD older $7.99 351 88% 11k $84k (exactly $84,135) Fading Club
Crabmeat $7.99 181 86% 5.4k $43k (exactly $43,386) Nicholas McDonnell, Mitchell Pasmans
Zombie Liminal Fishing $13.99 21 85% 630 $8.8k (exactly $8,814) Chris Danelon
South America Gold Rush · EA $9.99 9 44% 270 $2.7k (exactly $2,697) Argo Games
Gym Camp Simulator $4.99 16 62% 480 $2.4k (exactly $2,395) For Fun Games
Snapshot Aquarium · EA $5.99 7 100% 210 $1.3k (exactly $1,258) Octoponx

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.