Do I ship it?

GamesFPSFPS + Farming Sim

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Farming Sim FPS?

FPS + Farming Sim

Only 12 developers shipped a Farming Sim FPS in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Zombie Graveyard Simulator, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 34 more are announced, ×4.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.3k, ×1.6 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $660; 1 in 20 cleared $360k, ×242 the market median. Revenue is up 1225% on the market; 34 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 1225% on the market, 34 announced, ×4.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
FPS + Farming Sim
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.0k → $14k → $2.3k → $7.5k → $5.5k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for FPS + Farming Sim: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $659 (exactly $659)
Median $2.3k (exactly $2,338)
Top 25% $9.4k (exactly $9,352)
Top 5% $362k (exactly $362,008)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 32
Announced 34
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $10.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1225% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

FPS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Farming Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
FPS, Farming Sim
Price point
$10.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 925 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $660, median $2.3k, 1 in 4 over $9.3k, 1 in 20 over $360k.

3 in 10 developers made under $660. 7 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 34 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

FPS with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LGBTQ+Fair28 devs · median $32k · 22 announced
  2. + Dating SimFair47 devs · median $19k · 36 announced
  3. + IdlerFair22 devs · median $4.2k · 23 announced
  4. + GamblingFair24 devs · median $4.1k · 22 announced
  5. + FaithFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 12 announced
  6. + Precision PlatformerFair37 devs · median $1.6k · 38 announced
  7. + Martial ArtsFair13 devs · median $1.4k · 12 announced
  8. + Walking SimulatorFair172 devs · median $1.2k · 190 announced
  9. + RunnerLong shot39 devs · median $958 · 43 announced
  10. + Action RTSLong shot16 devs · median $899 · 21 announced
  11. + Bullet HellLong shot130 devs · median $629 · 145 announced
  12. + DogsLong shot6 devs · median $594 · 7 announced

All 216 pairs on the FPS page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Weed Shop 3 older $19.99 3,956 93% 119k $2.4M (exactly $2,372,413) Weed Games
Drug Lord Tycoon · EA older $9.99 1,671 83% 50k $501k (exactly $500,799) Duhndal
Zombie Graveyard Simulator $14.99 805 89% 24k $362k (exactly $362,008) threeW
Weed Shop 2 older $9.99 845 86% 25k $253k (exactly $253,246) ADhD Studios
Dong-Jin Rice-hime(東津萌米) older $19.99 352 90% 11k $211k (exactly $211,094) STORIA, Narrator, SimonCreative
My Village Life · EA older $14.99 385 85% 12k $173k (exactly $173,134) Papucs Games
仙道孤旅 · EA older $8.99 53 84% 1.6k $14k (exactly $14,294) 仙道
Life in red line · EA $17.99 26 76% 780 $14k (exactly $14,032) Pecha games
Garden Of Mooj older $14.99 23 69% 690 $10k (exactly $10,343) Kcfos
Farm Supply Simulator 25 · EA $11.99 26 84% 780 $9.4k (exactly $9,352) Superwolf Game Studio, Lycan Arts
Weed Store Simulator $9.99 25 80% 750 $7.5k (exactly $7,492) Nons Games
Dig For Riches $7.99 23 52% 690 $5.5k (exactly $5,513) OxygenStudio
Shadow of the Night $12.99 6 50% 180 $2.3k (exactly $2,338) Uğur ÇELİK
Meat Lovers $6.99 5 60% 150 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) Triple O Studios
Ultra Fishing $12.99 2 50% 60 $779 (exactly $779) Uğur ÇELİK
Master Leaf Blower · EA $4.99 5 80% 150 $748 (exactly $748) Frix, Buffa Software
Mary Jane · EA $10.99 2 0% 60 $659 (exactly $659) EBOES

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.