Do I ship it?

GamesFlightFlight + World War I

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a WWI Flight game?

Flight + World War I

Only 7 developers shipped a WWI Flight game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Aces of Thunder, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×1.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $1.0M, ×1660 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 15 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 15 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Flight + World War I
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Flight + World War I: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,199)
Top 25% $2.7k (exactly $2,699)
Top 5% $1.0M (exactly $1,042,752)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 31
Announced 15
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $15.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 150% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Flight
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
World War I
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Flight
Price point
$15.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 71% positive over 3,941 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $2.6k, 1 in 20 over $1.0M.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 15 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Flight with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Choose Your Own AdventureFair9 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  2. + Hidden ObjectFair9 devs · median $1.3k · 10 announced
  3. + Quick-Time EventsFair9 devs · median $657 · 9 announced
  4. + CatsFair6 devs · median $629 · 10 announced
  5. + Life SimPoor odds12 devs · median $70k · 29 announced
  6. + TradingPoor odds6 devs · median $36k · 21 announced
  7. + MiningPoor odds10 devs · median $35k · 13 announced
  8. + CraftingPoor odds14 devs · median $19k · 57 announced
  9. + Base BuildingPoor odds23 devs · median $17k · 48 announced
  10. + EconomyPoor odds20 devs · median $15k · 45 announced
  11. + RTSPoor odds14 devs · median $15k · 18 announced
  12. + Cold WarPoor odds10 devs · median $11k · 16 announced

All 132 pairs on the Flight page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Aces of Thunder $29.99 1,159 57% 35k $1.0M (exactly $1,042,752) Gaijin Entertainment
Model Builder: Complete Edition older $19.99 1,058 74% 32k $634k (exactly $634,483) Moonlit S.A.
Warplanes: WW1 Fighters older $19.99 403 88% 12k $242k (exactly $241,679) Home Net Games
Sid Meier’s Ace Patrol older $4.99 403 72% 12k $60k (exactly $60,329) Firaxis Games
Aircraft Evolution older $8.99 221 80% 6.6k $60k (exactly $59,604) Satur Entertainment
Air Conflicts: Secret Wars older $5.99 301 74% 9.0k $54k (exactly $54,090) Games Farm, 3Division
Skies above the Great War older $11.99 140 75% 4.2k $50k (exactly $50,358) Puntigames
Wings of Glory older $14.99 92 80% 2.8k $41k (exactly $41,372) Dire Wolf
Red Baron Pack older $9.99 120 80% 3.6k $36k (exactly $35,964) Mad Otter Games
Red Wings: American Aces older $11.99 44 70% 1.3k $16k (exactly $15,827) All in! Games
Real RC: Flight Simulator Aircraft Remote Control 2026 $29.99 3 33% 90 $2.7k (exactly $2,699) Thetis Games
Wings Of Rage $15.99 3 100% 90 $1.4k (exactly $1,439) Cyrille Fontaine
Flying Aces: Legend of the Red Baron $19.99 2 0% 60 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) GS2 Games
Furball Over the Front $4.99 4 75% 120 $599 (exactly $599) Page Blue House
Sky Scramble $5.99 3 100% 90 $539 (exactly $539) SpunjLabs
Aerial Lockdown $2.99 2 100% 60 $179 (exactly $179) DryLight Games UF
Soviet Tide Arising! $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Page Blue House

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.