Games › Flight › Flight + Cold War
Should I ship a Cold-War Flight game?
Flight + Cold War
Only 10 developers shipped a Cold-War Flight game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Vietnam War, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $11k, ×17 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $540; 1 in 20 cleared $760k, ×1220 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 16 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $539 (exactly $539) |
|---|---|
| Median | $11k (exactly $10,778) |
| Top 25% | $187k (exactly $186,940) |
| Top 5% | $766k (exactly $766,289) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 10 |
| Released games | 29 |
| Announced | 16 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $10.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Flight
- Price point
- $10.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 82% positive over 2,861 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $540. 16 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Flight with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Choose Your Own AdventureFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + Quick-Time EventsFair
- + CatsFair
- + Life SimPoor odds
- + TradingPoor odds
- + MiningPoor odds
- + CraftingPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
- + EconomyPoor odds
- + RTSPoor odds
- + BuildingPoor odds
Comparable games
ICBM 2020 · $993k 
Tiny Combat Arena 2022 · EA · $906k 
IL-2 Sturmovik: 1946 2008 · $795k 
Vietnam War 2025 · EA · $766k 
Air Defender 2025 · EA · $220k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | ICBM | older | $19.99 | 1,655 91% | 50k | $993k (exactly $992,503) | SoftWarWare, K-Project |
| | Tiny Combat Arena | · EA older | $19.99 | 1,511 81% | 45k | $906k (exactly $906,147) | Why485, MicroProse Software |
| | IL-2 Sturmovik: 1946 | older | $9.99 | 2,653 88% | 80k | $795k (exactly $795,104) | 1C: Maddox Games |
| | Vietnam War | · EA | $14.99 | 1,704 84% | 51k | $766k (exactly $766,289) | Thorium Game Lab |
| | Air Defender | · EA | $20.19 | 364 78% | 11k | $220k (exactly $220,475) | ROTOR3 |
 | Metal Thunder | · EA | $10.99 | 567 76% | 17k | $187k (exactly $186,940) | Dumbbell Games |
 | Aggressor | · EA older | $19.99 | 172 61% | 5.2k | $103k (exactly $103,148) | Flashpoint Studios |
 | F-22: Air Dominance Fighter | $19.99 | 138 91% | 4.1k | $83k (exactly $82,759) | Digital Image Design Ltd. | |
 | Wings Over Europe | older | $8.99 | 117 58% | 3.5k | $32k (exactly $31,555) | Third Wire Productions |
 | Interkosmos | older | $4.99 | 201 82% | 6.0k | $30k (exactly $30,090) | Ovid Works |
 | Hijong Park's Defender Patrol | $4.99 | 72 98% | 2.2k | $11k (exactly $10,778) | Hijong Park | |
 | FEBA Gunship R | $2.99 | 9 100% | 270 | $807 (exactly $807) | rucsgames | |
 | Sky Scramble | $5.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $539 (exactly $539) | SpunjLabs | |
 | Sky Combat: WWII Warplane Races | · EA | $14.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $450 (exactly $450) | Hard Shark Games |
 | Flight Weapon | $5.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $359 (exactly $359) | Dying Tiger Studios AB | |
 | Blue Fury | $9.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | Tim Wheatley |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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