Do I ship it?

Games › Flight › Flight + Turn-Based Strategy

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Turn-Based Strategy Flight game?

Flight + Turn-Based Strategy

Only 8 developers shipped a Turn-Based Strategy Flight game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Scramble: Battle of Britain, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 10 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $0 against a market of $630. 10 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 10 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Flight + Turn-Based Strategy
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Flight + Turn-Based Strategy: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $0 (exactly $0)
Top 25% $34k (exactly $33,736)
Top 5% $188k (exactly $188,037)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 27
Announced 10
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 40% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Flight
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Turn-Based Strategy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Flight, Turn-Based Strategy
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 75% positive over 1,055 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $0, 1 in 4 over $33k, 1 in 20 over $180k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 10 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Flight with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Choose Your Own AdventureFair9 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  2. + Hidden ObjectFair9 devs · median $1.3k · 10 announced
  3. + Quick-Time EventsFair9 devs · median $657 · 9 announced
  4. + CatsFair6 devs · median $629 · 10 announced
  5. + Life SimPoor odds12 devs · median $70k · 29 announced
  6. + TradingPoor odds6 devs · median $36k · 21 announced
  7. + MiningPoor odds10 devs · median $35k · 13 announced
  8. + CraftingPoor odds14 devs · median $19k · 57 announced
  9. + Base BuildingPoor odds23 devs · median $17k · 48 announced
  10. + EconomyPoor odds20 devs · median $15k · 45 announced
  11. + RTSPoor odds14 devs · median $15k · 18 announced
  12. + Cold WarPoor odds10 devs · median $11k · 16 announced

All 132 pairs on the Flight page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Scramble: Battle of Britain 2024 · EA · $188k Sid Meier’s Ace Patrol 2013 · $60k Wings of Glory 2022 · $41k Sky Oceans: Wings for Hire 2024 · $34k Sid Meier’s Ace Patrol: Pacific Skies 2013 · $33k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Scramble: Battle of Britain · EA $29.99 209 88% 6.3k $188k (exactly $188,037) Slitherine Ltd.
Sid Meier’s Ace Patrol older $4.99 403 72% 12k $60k (exactly $60,329) Firaxis Games
Wings of Glory older $14.99 92 80% 2.8k $41k (exactly $41,372) Dire Wolf
Sky Oceans: Wings for Hire $24.99 45 64% 1.4k $34k (exactly $33,736) Octeto Studios
Sid Meier’s Ace Patrol: Pacific Skies older $4.99 219 70% 6.6k $33k (exactly $32,784) Firaxis Games
Bomber Command older $14.99 29 44% 870 $13k (exactly $13,041) Silent S Studios, LLC
Dee-6: Dice Defenders older $4.99 45 73% 1.4k $6.7k (exactly $6,736) KBA3u's factory
The Dawning Clocks Of Time - Director's Cut older $7.99 10 100% 300 $2.4k (exactly $2,397) Spacefarer R&D Ltd.
Battle of Tanks older $4.99 2 0% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Aleksey
Enemy on the tail! $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Buli16, KAT Family Studio
HeavensSea older $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) NO_BUFF
DISCIN $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Russell Ruffolo, Nolan Boyle
Space Corps® · EA $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Space Corps Command, LLC
Draw in the tray 2 $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Q drawer
Snail Mail $6.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) WASD Studios
Space Dart $2.00 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Kyeong Cheol Kim

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.