Do I ship it?

GamesFlightFlight + Sports

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Flight Sports game?

Flight + Sports

Of 36 developers who shipped a Flight Sports game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 58 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.0k, ×1.6 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $290k, ×463 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 58 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 58 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Flight + Sports
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 36
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.4k → $1.5k → $5.7k → $8.1k → $7.2k → $538 → $449 (still earning) → $629 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Flight + Sports: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 36
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $1.0k (exactly $1,019)
Top 25% $7.2k (exactly $7,196)
Top 5% $291k (exactly $290,854)
Developers, 2 yr 36
Released games 179
Announced 58
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Flight
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Sports
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Flight, Sports; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Physics, Simulation, Action
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Realistic
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 2,385 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $1.0k, 1 in 4 over $7.1k, 1 in 20 over $290k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 6 in 10 of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 58 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Flight with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Choose Your Own AdventureFair9 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  2. + Hidden ObjectFair9 devs · median $1.3k · 10 announced
  3. + Quick-Time EventsFair9 devs · median $657 · 9 announced
  4. + CatsFair6 devs · median $629 · 10 announced
  5. + Life SimPoor odds12 devs · median $70k · 29 announced
  6. + TradingPoor odds6 devs · median $36k · 21 announced
  7. + MiningPoor odds10 devs · median $35k · 13 announced
  8. + CraftingPoor odds14 devs · median $19k · 57 announced
  9. + Base BuildingPoor odds23 devs · median $17k · 48 announced
  10. + EconomyPoor odds20 devs · median $15k · 45 announced
  11. + RTSPoor odds14 devs · median $15k · 18 announced
  12. + Cold WarPoor odds10 devs · median $11k · 16 announced

All 132 pairs on the Flight page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Crew™ 2 older $29.99 86,533 78% 2.6M $78M (exactly $77,853,740) Ivory Tower
Liftoff®: FPV Drone Racing older $19.99 13,633 95% 409k $8.2M (exactly $8,175,710) LuGus Studios
Uncrashed : FPV Drone Simulator older $14.99 7,770 95% 233k $3.5M (exactly $3,494,169) Luminite
Aerofly FS 4 Flight Simulator older $59.99 1,400 89% 42k $2.5M (exactly $2,519,580) IPACS
Harry Potter: Quidditch Champions older $29.99 2,790 73% 84k $2.5M (exactly $2,510,163) Unbroken Studios
Redout: Enhanced Edition older $19.99 3,438 84% 103k $2.1M (exactly $2,061,769) 34BigThings srl
TRYP FPV: Drone Racer Simulator · EA older $16.99 3,155 85% 95k $1.6M (exactly $1,608,103) UNDEAD BATTERY
The Drone Racing League Simulator older $9.99 4,042 79% 121k $1.2M (exactly $1,211,387) The Drone Racing League
Superflight older $2.99 11,047 96% 331k $991k (exactly $990,916) GrizzlyGames
DCL - The Game older $29.99 948 79% 28k $853k (exactly $852,916) Drone Champions AG, Climax Studios
Liftoff®: Micro Drones $15.99 1,418 92% 43k $680k (exactly $680,215) LuGus Studios
Whisker Squadron: Survivor $19.99 485 77% 15k $291k (exactly $290,854) Flippfly LLC
FPV Labs - Drone Simulator · EA $19.99 104 67% 3.1k $62k (exactly $62,369) FPVLabs
Glider Simulator $7.99 242 97% 7.3k $58k (exactly $58,007) HFRK.
True Disc Golf $24.99 32 90% 960 $24k (exactly $23,990) Sportsmanlike Games
XFlight: FPV Drone Simulator $24.99 24 79% 720 $18k (exactly $17,993) Lingsrealm Technology
Drone Simulator VR $13.99 27 96% 810 $11k (exactly $11,332) 0Space
Project Hover · EA $9.99 27 88% 810 $8.1k (exactly $8,092) Ulysses Graphics
The Last Golfer $19.99 12 91% 360 $7.2k (exactly $7,196) Karthik Subramanyam, Andrew Laing
ACRODRIFT: FPV Drone Simulator · EA $14.99 14 85% 420 $6.3k (exactly $6,296) Dueking Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.