Do I ship it?

Games › Flight › Flight + Runner

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Runner Flight game?

Flight + Runner

Of 34 developers who shipped a Runner Flight game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $60 in the last 2 years and $90 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 16 developers shipped in the last year and 28 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 28 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Flight + Runner
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 34
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $239 → $479 → $299 → $239 → $0 → $90 → $30 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Flight + Runner: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 34
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $60 (exactly $60)
Top 25% $420 (exactly $420)
Top 5% $5.2k (exactly $5,240)
Developers, 2 yr 34
Released games 117
Announced 28
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 10% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Flight
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Runner
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Flight, Runner; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Arcade, Action, Procedural Generation
Price point
$3.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.80 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Cartoon, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.80 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 521 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $60, 1 in 4 over $420, 1 in 20 over $5.2k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 21 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 28 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Flight with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Choose Your Own AdventureFair9 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  2. + Hidden ObjectFair9 devs · median $1.3k · 10 announced
  3. + Quick-Time EventsFair9 devs · median $657 · 9 announced
  4. + CatsFair6 devs · median $629 · 10 announced
  5. + Life SimPoor odds12 devs · median $70k · 29 announced
  6. + TradingPoor odds6 devs · median $36k · 21 announced
  7. + MiningPoor odds10 devs · median $35k · 13 announced
  8. + CraftingPoor odds14 devs · median $19k · 57 announced
  9. + Base BuildingPoor odds23 devs · median $17k · 48 announced
  10. + EconomyPoor odds20 devs · median $15k · 45 announced
  11. + RTSPoor odds14 devs · median $15k · 18 announced
  12. + Cold WarPoor odds10 devs · median $11k · 16 announced

All 132 pairs on the Flight page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

BEHEMOTH 2024 · $49k Switchcars 2021 · $44k Speed Limit 2021 · $41k City Zoomer 2021 · $24k Space Turbo 2 2022 · $18k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
BEHEMOTH $3.99 412 88% 12k $49k (exactly $49,316) The Behemoth
Switchcars older $8.99 164 90% 4.9k $44k (exactly $44,231) Altfuture
Speed Limit older $9.99 136 80% 4.1k $41k (exactly $40,759) Gamechuck
City Zoomer older $4.99 160 93% 4.8k $24k (exactly $23,952) Planet Renox
Space Turbo 2 older $24.99 24 100% 720 $18k (exactly $17,993) Enoops
Vojo older $1.99 236 94% 7.1k $14k (exactly $14,089) OpalA dev
SINGULARIUM older $9.99 41 75% 1.2k $12k (exactly $12,288) NivMiz
Otherwar older $5.99 59 66% 1.8k $11k (exactly $10,602) kantal collective
Unpossible older $2.99 116 83% 3.5k $10k (exactly $10,405) Acceleroto, Inc.
Witch Epoch older $24.99 12 91% 360 $9.0k (exactly $8,996) Laush Dmitriy Sergeevich
Calm Skies: The Wingsuit Flying Experience $4.99 35 91% 1.1k $5.2k (exactly $5,240) Flashblack Games
TIRELESS: Prepare For The Adrenaline $4.99 32 84% 960 $4.8k (exactly $4,790) naro
✈️Velocity Wings✈️ $9.80 12 91% 360 $3.5k (exactly $3,528) ZhiFeng Games
FLY2K $4.99 11 100% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) Obscure Games, HYPERNORMAL
MPPP - Multidimensional Paper Plane Project $1.99 12 91% 360 $716 (exactly $716) Vifth Floor
Seagull Kart Racing $14.99 1 100% 30 $450 (exactly $450) Nikolaj Vania
Prey of the Night $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) White Clover Studios
Nocto And The Ray Of Light $13.99 1 0% 30 $420 (exactly $420) Spacefarer Retro Remasters LLC
Isles Above · EA $5.99 2 100% 60 $359 (exactly $359) UVW Game Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.