Do I ship it?

GamesFlightFlight + Robots

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Robot Flight game?

Flight + Robots

Of 22 developers who shipped a Robot Flight game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 33 more are announced, ×3.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450, ×0.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $18k, ×29 the market median. Revenue is down 25% on the market; 33 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 25% on the market, 33 announced, ×3.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Flight + Robots
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 22
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $50k → $359 → $3.2k → $718 → $4.8k → $0 → $599 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Flight + Robots: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 22
Bottom 30% $180 (exactly $180)
Median $449 (exactly $449)
Top 25% $2.2k (exactly $2,248)
Top 5% $18k (exactly $18,413)
Developers, 2 yr 22
Released games 93
Announced 33
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 25% on the market, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Flight
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Robots
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Flight; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action-Adventure, Adventure
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Third Person, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 528 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $450, 1 in 4 over $2.2k, 1 in 20 over $18k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 9 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 33 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Flight with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Choose Your Own AdventureFair9 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  2. + Hidden ObjectFair9 devs · median $1.3k · 10 announced
  3. + Quick-Time EventsFair9 devs · median $657 · 9 announced
  4. + CatsFair6 devs · median $629 · 10 announced
  5. + Life SimPoor odds12 devs · median $70k · 29 announced
  6. + TradingPoor odds6 devs · median $36k · 21 announced
  7. + MiningPoor odds10 devs · median $35k · 13 announced
  8. + CraftingPoor odds14 devs · median $19k · 57 announced
  9. + Base BuildingPoor odds23 devs · median $17k · 48 announced
  10. + EconomyPoor odds20 devs · median $15k · 45 announced
  11. + RTSPoor odds14 devs · median $15k · 18 announced
  12. + Cold WarPoor odds10 devs · median $11k · 16 announced

All 132 pairs on the Flight page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Rebel Galaxy Outlaw older $29.99 942 65% 28k $848k (exactly $847,517) Double Damage Games
Project Nimbus: Complete Edition older $6.99 1,490 84% 45k $312k (exactly $312,453) GameCrafterTeam, GameTomo Co., Ltd.
Project Demigod older $19.99 397 69% 12k $238k (exactly $238,081) Omnifarious Studios LLC
Desecrators $14.99 327 96% 9.8k $147k (exactly $147,052) Woodhound
War Tech Fighters older $19.99 228 74% 6.8k $137k (exactly $136,732) Drakkar Dev
Gearbits older $9.99 442 96% 13k $132k (exactly $132,467) Quackpond Games
Strike Suit Zero: Director's Cut older $9.99 363 82% 11k $109k (exactly $108,791) Born Ready Games
AI Drone Simulator older $14.99 206 83% 6.2k $93k (exactly $92,638) Diophante Studio
Hell Division older $13.99 191 83% 5.7k $80k (exactly $80,163) Quacky Games
Scrapland Remastered older $19.99 107 92% 3.2k $64k (exactly $64,168) MercurySteam
Sexy Iron Maidens $4.99 123 69% 3.7k $18k (exactly $18,413) Earl Marx
The Last Golfer $19.99 12 91% 360 $7.2k (exactly $7,196) Karthik Subramanyam, Andrew Laing
Wings of Aviora · EA $24.99 8 87% 240 $6.0k (exactly $5,998) Stormy XP
TIRELESS: Prepare For The Adrenaline $4.99 32 84% 960 $4.8k (exactly $4,790) naro
A-RED Walking Robot $14.99 5 80% 150 $2.2k (exactly $2,248) JOOKITOOZ
The Giant Crab in Space $7.99 5 60% 150 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) TensionSplice
Legend of the Moon 2 $2.99 8 87% 240 $718 (exactly $718) GozipGame
The Great Ocean $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Actrio Studio
Dogfight Darlings $2.99 6 100% 180 $538 (exactly $538) dull rat

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.