Do I ship it?

GamesFlightFlight + Psychological Horror

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Psychological-Horror Flight game?

Flight + Psychological Horror

Only 10 developers shipped a Psychological-Horror Flight game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Microsoft Flight Simulator 2024, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 11 more are announced, ×5.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $2.7k against a market of $630. 11 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 4.3 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 11 announced, ×5.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Flight + Psychological Horror
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $49k → $2.7k → $90
Outcomes for Flight + Psychological Horror: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $1.3k (exactly $1,336)
Median $2.7k (exactly $2,722)
Top 25% $8.6k (exactly $8,626)
Top 5% $45M (exactly $45,422,810)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 28
Announced 11
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $2.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 75% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Flight
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Psychological Horror
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Flight
Price point
$2.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 60% positive over 22,253 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.4k, median $2.7k, 1 in 4 over $8.6k, 1 in 20 over $45M.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.4k. 8 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 11 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Flight with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Choose Your Own AdventureFair9 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  2. + Hidden ObjectFair9 devs · median $1.3k · 10 announced
  3. + Quick-Time EventsFair9 devs · median $657 · 9 announced
  4. + CatsFair6 devs · median $629 · 10 announced
  5. + Life SimPoor odds12 devs · median $70k · 29 announced
  6. + TradingPoor odds6 devs · median $36k · 21 announced
  7. + MiningPoor odds10 devs · median $35k · 13 announced
  8. + CraftingPoor odds14 devs · median $19k · 57 announced
  9. + Base BuildingPoor odds23 devs · median $17k · 48 announced
  10. + EconomyPoor odds20 devs · median $15k · 45 announced
  11. + RTSPoor odds14 devs · median $15k · 18 announced
  12. + Cold WarPoor odds10 devs · median $11k · 16 announced

All 132 pairs on the Flight page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Microsoft Flight Simulator 2024 $69.99 21,633 59% 649k $45M (exactly $45,422,810) Asobo Studio
FPV Kamikaze Drone · EA older $5.99 12,192 86% 366k $2.2M (exactly $2,190,902) HFM Games
Flyout · EA older $19.99 2,137 83% 64k $1.3M (exactly $1,281,559) Stonext Games
Airplane Mode older $11.99 355 67% 11k $128k (exactly $127,694) Bacronym
Global ATC Simulator older $29.99 133 62% 4.0k $120k (exactly $119,660) Robert Miroszewski
Sora older $8.99 384 94% 12k $104k (exactly $103,565) Orange_Juice
Fly Simulator older $2.99 629 64% 19k $56k (exactly $56,421) HFM Games
BEHEMOTH $3.99 412 88% 12k $49k (exactly $49,316) The Behemoth
Go For Launch: Mercury older $9.99 59 81% 1.8k $18k (exactly $17,682) Joe Chisholm
Lunar Lander Beyond older $29.99 14 42% 420 $13k (exactly $12,596) Dreams Uncorporated
Kamikaze Strike: FPV Drone $5.99 48 83% 1.4k $8.6k (exactly $8,626) Dinomore Games
Unlucky Chicken $2.98 52 90% 1.6k $4.6k (exactly $4,649) Kayla.Z
Drones of War: FPV Drone Simulator · EA $3.49 26 61% 780 $2.7k (exactly $2,722) Loren
Nightmare Flight $1.99 35 45% 1.1k $2.1k (exactly $2,090) Horrid Vision
A Butterfly $0.99 45 97% 1.4k $1.3k (exactly $1,336) alienmelon
Bird Like $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) SoftPower
Clumsy Rocketship $1.99 1 100% 30 $60 (exactly $60) Cosmic Pew Pew
A Bad Space Game $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) tobi02b

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.