Do I ship it?

Games › Flight › Flight + Precision Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Precision Platformer Flight game?

Flight + Precision Platformer

Of 29 developers who shipped a Precision Platformer Flight game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $120 in the last 2 years and $150 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 16 developers shipped in the last year and 28 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 28 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Flight + Precision Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 29
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $150 → $3.0k → $60 → $1.2k → $386 → $179 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Flight + Precision Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 29
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $120 (exactly $120)
Top 25% $599 (exactly $599)
Top 5% $2.7k (exactly $2,697)
Developers, 2 yr 29
Released games 95
Announced 28
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Flight
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Precision Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Flight, Precision Platformer; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Arcade, Physics
Price point
$3.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Difficult, 2D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 106 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $120, 1 in 4 over $590, 1 in 20 over $2.6k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 16 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 28 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Flight with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Choose Your Own AdventureFair9 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  2. + Hidden ObjectFair9 devs · median $1.3k · 10 announced
  3. + Quick-Time EventsFair9 devs · median $657 · 9 announced
  4. + CatsFair6 devs · median $629 · 10 announced
  5. + Life SimPoor odds12 devs · median $70k · 29 announced
  6. + TradingPoor odds6 devs · median $36k · 21 announced
  7. + MiningPoor odds10 devs · median $35k · 13 announced
  8. + CraftingPoor odds14 devs · median $19k · 57 announced
  9. + Base BuildingPoor odds23 devs · median $17k · 48 announced
  10. + EconomyPoor odds20 devs · median $15k · 45 announced
  11. + RTSPoor odds14 devs · median $15k · 18 announced
  12. + Cold WarPoor odds10 devs · median $11k · 16 announced

All 132 pairs on the Flight page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Alex Kidd in Miracle World DX 2021 · $453k Lumione 2021 · $150k Jet Kave Adventure 2021 · $55k Speed Limit 2021 · $41k Flying Tobacco Eggs 2024 · $16k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Alex Kidd in Miracle World DX older $19.99 756 80% 23k $453k (exactly $453,373) Jankenteam
Lumione older $11.99 418 73% 13k $150k (exactly $150,355) Glimmer Studio
Jet Kave Adventure older $14.99 122 85% 3.7k $55k (exactly $54,863) 7Levels
Speed Limit older $9.99 136 80% 4.1k $41k (exactly $40,759) Gamechuck
Flying Tobacco Eggs older $39.99 13 84% 390 $16k (exactly $15,596) Gamesforgames
LOST ORBIT: Terminal Velocity older $9.99 28 85% 840 $8.4k (exactly $8,392) PixelNAUTS Games
TIRELESS: Prepare For The Adrenaline $4.99 32 84% 960 $4.8k (exactly $4,790) naro
Xeno Runners older $4.99 32 93% 960 $4.8k (exactly $4,790) Atchio Games
Trianguluv older $1.99 59 88% 1.8k $3.5k (exactly $3,522) Bohdan Taraba
Space Hole 2018 older $3.99 26 96% 780 $3.1k (exactly $3,112) Sam Atlas
Professor Doctor Jetpack $9.99 9 100% 270 $2.7k (exactly $2,697) Roflcopter Ink GmbH
Gold for Retirement $3.99 18 94% 540 $2.2k (exactly $2,155) Underwater Dev-Depths
Way of the Dragons · EA $4.99 13 100% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) Said Yavuz
Space Tournament $9.99 5 100% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) Trash Titans
On The Wind's Breath $5.99 8 100% 240 $1.4k (exactly $1,438) Pink Sakura Studios
Levitation Simulator 2 $2.99 13 92% 390 $1.2k (exactly $1,166) OZNA STUDIO
Critical Descent $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Endless Abyss Games
Rescue Heli RH407 $5.99 3 100% 90 $539 (exactly $539) G-REX games
Vector Horizon $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Solara

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.