Do I ship it?

GamesFlightFlight + Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Platformer Flight game?

Flight + Platformer

Of 48 developers who shipped a Platformer Flight game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 57 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $240 in the last 2 years and $210 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 26 developers shipped in the last year and 57 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 40% on the market, 57 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Flight + Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 48
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $119 → $150 → $1.3k → $1.3k → $359 → $386 → $30 (still earning) → $150 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Flight + Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 48
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $239 (exactly $239)
Top 25% $1.4k (exactly $1,438)
Top 5% $6.0k (exactly $5,997)
Developers, 2 yr 48
Released games 176
Announced 57
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Flight
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Flight, Platformer; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, 3D Platformer
Price point
$3.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Third Person, Difficult
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 215 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $240, 1 in 4 over $1.4k, 1 in 20 over $5.9k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. Nearly all of the 26 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 57 games are announced against 26 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Flight with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Choose Your Own AdventureFair9 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  2. + Hidden ObjectFair9 devs · median $1.3k · 10 announced
  3. + Quick-Time EventsFair9 devs · median $657 · 9 announced
  4. + CatsFair6 devs · median $629 · 10 announced
  5. + Life SimPoor odds12 devs · median $70k · 29 announced
  6. + TradingPoor odds6 devs · median $36k · 21 announced
  7. + MiningPoor odds10 devs · median $35k · 13 announced
  8. + CraftingPoor odds14 devs · median $19k · 57 announced
  9. + Base BuildingPoor odds23 devs · median $17k · 48 announced
  10. + EconomyPoor odds20 devs · median $15k · 45 announced
  11. + RTSPoor odds14 devs · median $15k · 18 announced
  12. + Cold WarPoor odds10 devs · median $11k · 16 announced

All 132 pairs on the Flight page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Tiny Terry's Turbo Trip older $17.99 1,450 95% 44k $783k (exactly $782,565) snekflat
Alex Kidd in Miracle World DX older $19.99 756 80% 23k $453k (exactly $453,373) Jankenteam
AaaaaAAaaaAAAaaAAAAaAAAAA!!! for the Awesome older $9.99 535 81% 16k $160k (exactly $160,340) Dejobaan Games, LLC, Owlchemy Labs
Lumione older $11.99 418 73% 13k $150k (exactly $150,355) Glimmer Studio
Spectacular Sparky older $14.99 185 87% 5.6k $83k (exactly $83,194) FreakZone Games
Jet Kave Adventure older $14.99 122 85% 3.7k $55k (exactly $54,863) 7Levels
Secrets of Rætikon older $9.99 171 69% 5.1k $51k (exactly $51,249) Broken Rules
Speed Limit older $9.99 136 80% 4.1k $41k (exactly $40,759) Gamechuck
Duck Life 4 older $4.99 261 86% 7.8k $39k (exactly $39,072) Wix Games
I dont Fall older $6.99 169 84% 5.1k $35k (exactly $35,439) PUMPKIM
Max Mustard $19.99 38 94% 1.1k $23k (exactly $22,789) Toast Interactive
XFlight: FPV Drone Simulator $24.99 24 79% 720 $18k (exactly $17,993) Lingsrealm Technology
Soar: Pillars of Tasneem $19.99 10 70% 300 $6.0k (exactly $5,997) Kimchi Corp
TIRELESS: Prepare For The Adrenaline $4.99 32 84% 960 $4.8k (exactly $4,790) naro
Unlucky Chicken $2.98 52 90% 1.6k $4.6k (exactly $4,649) Kayla.Z
Cursed Broom $9.99 15 86% 450 $4.5k (exactly $4,496) Cursed Creations
✈️Velocity Wings✈️ $9.80 12 91% 360 $3.5k (exactly $3,528) ZhiFeng Games
Professor Doctor Jetpack $9.99 9 100% 270 $2.7k (exactly $2,697) Roflcopter Ink GmbH
A-RED Walking Robot $14.99 5 80% 150 $2.2k (exactly $2,248) JOOKITOOZ
Gold for Retirement $3.99 18 94% 540 $2.2k (exactly $2,155) Underwater Dev-Depths

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.