Games › Flight › Flight + Perma Death
Should I ship a Perma Death Flight game?
Flight + Perma Death
Only 9 developers shipped a Perma Death Flight game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Rogue Eclipse, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 23 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $900, ×1.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $29k, ×48 the market median. Revenue is up 620% on the market; 23 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $120 (exactly $120) |
|---|---|
| Median | $899 (exactly $899) |
| Top 25% | $1.8k (exactly $1,799) |
| Top 5% | $30k (exactly $29,985) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 9 |
| Released games | 43 |
| Announced | 23 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 620% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Flight
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Perma Death
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Flight, Perma Death
- Price point
- $4.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 86% positive over 16,178 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $120. 23 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Flight with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Choose Your Own AdventureFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + Quick-Time EventsFair
- + CatsFair
- + Life SimPoor odds
- + TradingPoor odds
- + MiningPoor odds
- + CraftingPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
- + EconomyPoor odds
- + RTSPoor odds
- + Cold WarPoor odds
Comparable games
Bomber Crew 2017 · $5.0M 
轮回修仙路 2023 · $1.5M 
Spirit Realm 2024 · EA · $752k 
Sky Rogue 2017 · $635k 
AIRHEART - Tales of broken Wings 2018 · $58k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Bomber Crew | older | $15.99 | 10,416 88% | 312k | $5.0M (exactly $4,996,555) | Runner Duck |
| | 轮回修仙路 | older | $16.99 | 2,945 82% | 88k | $1.5M (exactly $1,501,066) | 烟水寒工作室 |
| | Spirit Realm | · EA older | $18.18 | 1,379 76% | 41k | $752k (exactly $752,107) | 深圳市灵境互娱科技有限公司 |
| | Sky Rogue | older | $19.99 | 1,059 92% | 32k | $635k (exactly $635,082) | Fractal Phase |
| | AIRHEART - Tales of broken Wings | older | $14.99 | 128 81% | 3.8k | $58k (exactly $57,562) | Blindflug Studios AG |
 | Rogue Eclipse | $19.99 | 50 62% | 1.5k | $30k (exactly $29,985) | HUSKRAFTS | |
 | No Parachute | older | $4.99 | 116 89% | 3.5k | $17k (exactly $17,365) | Wherry |
 | Lunar Lander Beyond | older | $29.99 | 14 42% | 420 | $13k (exactly $12,596) | Dreams Uncorporated |
 | Welcome Back To 2007 Part II | older | $4.99 | 50 86% | 1.5k | $7.5k (exactly $7,485) | Siberian Mouse |
 | Vector Prospector | older | $7.99 | 21 80% | 630 | $5.0k (exactly $5,034) | SpinAttack Studio |
 | Captain Puff MacFly | $2.99 | 23 95% | 690 | $2.1k (exactly $2,063) | MVCAO Studios | |
 | The Chaser's Voyage | $19.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $1.8k (exactly $1,799) | Bright at Midnight: A Game Studio | |
 | BattleshipCrafting | $5.99 | 10 100% | 300 | $1.8k (exactly $1,797) | 洛米条 | |
 | Hyper Tunnel | $9.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $899 (exactly $899) | Gyxos | |
 | There's Chaos! | $4.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $449 (exactly $449) | Pathfinders Forge Games | |
 | Struggle | $3.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $120 (exactly $120) | Galactic Lake | |
 | 太和的疯狂农场 Taihe's Crazy Farm | $1.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $60 (exactly $60) | 太和独游匠 | |
 | Walrus Fly | $1.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $60 (exactly $60) | The Jam |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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