Games › Flight › Flight + Mystery
Should I ship a Mystery Flight game?
Flight + Mystery
Only 6 developers shipped a Mystery Flight game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Overlook Trail, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced, ×8.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.
Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $90 against a market of $630. 16 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $30 (exactly $30) |
|---|---|
| Median | $90 (exactly $90) |
| Top 25% | $2.7k (exactly $2,728) |
| Top 5% | $3.4k (exactly $3,414) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 6 |
| Released games | 42 |
| Announced | 16 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $2.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Flight
- Price point
- $2.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $16.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 88% positive over 5,427 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. 16 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×8.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Flight with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Choose Your Own AdventureFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + Quick-Time EventsFair
- + CatsFair
- + Life SimPoor odds
- + TradingPoor odds
- + MiningPoor odds
- + CraftingPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
- + EconomyPoor odds
- + RTSPoor odds
- + Cold WarPoor odds
Comparable games
Exo One 2021 · $2.6M 
Earth Analog 2021 · $61k 
Mare 2022 · $23k 
Tales of Cosmos 2016 · $15k 
Tex Murphy: Mean Streets 2014 · $12k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Exo One | older | $16.99 | 5,053 89% | 152k | $2.6M (exactly $2,575,514) | Exbleative |
| | Earth Analog | older | $19.99 | 101 65% | 3.0k | $61k (exactly $60,570) | Funcraft Games |
| | Mare | older | $19.99 | 39 79% | 1.2k | $23k (exactly $23,388) | Lonekite Games |
| | Tales of Cosmos | older | $14.99 | 34 79% | 1.0k | $15k (exactly $15,290) | Red Dwarf Games |
| | Tex Murphy: Mean Streets | older | $5.99 | 69 75% | 2.1k | $12k (exactly $12,399) | Access Software |
 | Murder Diaries | older | $9.99 | 27 85% | 810 | $8.1k (exactly $8,092) | EpiXR Games UG |
 | Murder Diaries 2 | older | $9.99 | 24 100% | 720 | $7.2k (exactly $7,193) | EpiXR Games UG |
 | Hadr | older | $4.99 | 43 86% | 1.3k | $6.4k (exactly $6,437) | Dominik Konečný, Ateliér Duchů |
 | Aery - Vikings | older | $9.99 | 20 90% | 600 | $6.0k (exactly $5,994) | EpiXR Games UG |
 | Murder Diaries 3 - Santa's Trail of Blood | older | $9.99 | 17 94% | 510 | $5.1k (exactly $5,095) | EpiXR Games UG |
 | Overlook Trail | $5.99 | 19 100% | 570 | $3.4k (exactly $3,414) | Longhand Electric | |
 | Out of Time | $12.99 | 7 71% | 210 | $2.7k (exactly $2,728) | KTVR Lab | |
 | Bird Like | $2.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $90 (exactly $90) | SoftPower | |
 | Rocket Rush | $0.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $59 (exactly $59) | Broken Byte Studios | |
 | Hap to Day | $0.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $30 (exactly $30) | Fenigem | |
 | Dreaming | $1.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Kangyoongu |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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