Do I ship it?

GamesFlightFlight + Local Co-Op

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Local Co-Op Flight game?

Flight + Local Co-Op

Only 17 developers shipped a Local Co-Op Flight game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Apidya' Special, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $240 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 10 developers shipped in the last year and 27 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 80% on the market, 27 announced, ×2.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Flight + Local Co-Op
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $22k → $90 → $298 → $2.1k → $3.8k (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Flight + Local Co-Op: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $238 (exactly $238)
Top 25% $2.1k (exactly $2,098)
Top 5% $18k (exactly $17,991)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 72
Announced 27
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 80% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Flight
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Local Co-Op
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Flight, Local Co-Op; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Co-op, Action, Arcade
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Colorful, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 98 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $240, 1 in 4 over $2.0k, 1 in 20 over $17k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Flight with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Choose Your Own AdventureFair9 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  2. + Hidden ObjectFair9 devs · median $1.3k · 10 announced
  3. + Quick-Time EventsFair9 devs · median $657 · 9 announced
  4. + CatsFair6 devs · median $629 · 10 announced
  5. + Life SimPoor odds12 devs · median $70k · 29 announced
  6. + TradingPoor odds6 devs · median $36k · 21 announced
  7. + MiningPoor odds10 devs · median $35k · 13 announced
  8. + CraftingPoor odds14 devs · median $19k · 57 announced
  9. + Base BuildingPoor odds23 devs · median $17k · 48 announced
  10. + EconomyPoor odds20 devs · median $15k · 45 announced
  11. + RTSPoor odds14 devs · median $15k · 18 announced
  12. + Cold WarPoor odds10 devs · median $11k · 16 announced

All 132 pairs on the Flight page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Sky Force Reloaded older $9.99 2,687 92% 81k $805k (exactly $805,294) Infinite Dreams
Sky Rogue older $19.99 1,059 92% 32k $635k (exactly $635,082) Fractal Phase
Bee Simulator older $19.99 752 80% 23k $451k (exactly $450,974) VARSAV Game Studios
CYGNI: All Guns Blazing older $29.99 448 60% 13k $403k (exactly $403,066) KeelWorks
Dogfight 1942 older $9.99 706 80% 21k $212k (exactly $211,588) City Interactive
Spacelines from the Far Out older $14.99 457 75% 14k $206k (exactly $205,513) Coffeenauts
Thunder Wolves older $9.99 446 84% 13k $134k (exactly $133,666) Most Wanted Entertainment
Ring Runner: Flight of the Sages older $4.99 580 84% 17k $87k (exactly $86,826) Triple.B.Titles
Aces of the Luftwaffe - Squadron older $14.99 94 74% 2.8k $42k (exactly $42,272) HandyGames
Raiden III x MIKADO MANIAX older $29.99 25 72% 750 $22k (exactly $22,492) MOSS Co., Ltd.
Apidya' Special $19.99 30 93% 900 $18k (exactly $17,991) Team Apidya
Rising Sun - Iron Aces $14.99 13 76% 390 $5.8k (exactly $5,846) Moebius One Games
Mayday Protocol $7.99 21 71% 630 $5.0k (exactly $5,034) Wazang Games
Air Hares $8.99 14 100% 420 $3.8k (exactly $3,776) Wondoro LLC
The Art Of Flight $9.99 7 100% 210 $2.1k (exactly $2,098) Et Al Games
Sky Combat: WWII Warplane Races · EA $14.99 1 0% 30 $450 (exactly $450) Hard Shark Games
P.A.N.D.A. $11.99 1 100% 30 $360 (exactly $360) Blitzwood
LAW 56 $3.99 2 100% 60 $239 (exactly $239) Willow Studios
Sync Together $0.99 8 100% 240 $238 (exactly $238) DarkRook Interactive
Rakete $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Mario von Rickenbach

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.