Do I ship it?

GamesFlightFlight + Level Editor

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Level Editor Flight game?

Flight + Level Editor

Only 13 developers shipped a Level Editor Flight game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Re:Flex, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×1.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $44k, ×72 the market median. Revenue is up 220% on the market; 17 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 220% on the market, 17 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Flight + Level Editor
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $38k → $1.5M → $839 → $18k → $4.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Flight + Level Editor: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,199)
Top 25% $18k (exactly $17,682)
Top 5% $45k (exactly $44,955)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 46
Announced 17
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 220% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Flight
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Level Editor
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Flight, Level Editor; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Arcade, Racing
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Colorful, Family Friendly
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 318 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $17k, 1 in 20 over $44k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Flight with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Choose Your Own AdventureFair9 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  2. + Hidden ObjectFair9 devs · median $1.3k · 10 announced
  3. + Quick-Time EventsFair9 devs · median $657 · 9 announced
  4. + CatsFair6 devs · median $629 · 10 announced
  5. + Life SimPoor odds12 devs · median $70k · 29 announced
  6. + TradingPoor odds6 devs · median $36k · 21 announced
  7. + MiningPoor odds10 devs · median $35k · 13 announced
  8. + CraftingPoor odds14 devs · median $19k · 57 announced
  9. + Base BuildingPoor odds23 devs · median $17k · 48 announced
  10. + EconomyPoor odds20 devs · median $15k · 45 announced
  11. + RTSPoor odds14 devs · median $15k · 18 announced
  12. + Cold WarPoor odds10 devs · median $11k · 16 announced

All 132 pairs on the Flight page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Besiege older $14.99 48,045 95% 1.4M $22M (exactly $21,605,836) Spiderling Studios
VTOL VR older $29.99 19,885 98% 597k $18M (exactly $17,890,534) Boundless Dynamics, LLC
Liftoff®: FPV Drone Racing older $19.99 13,633 95% 409k $8.2M (exactly $8,175,710) LuGus Studios
Nuclear Option · EA older $19.99 10,275 95% 308k $6.2M (exactly $6,161,917) Shockfront Studios
Aerofly FS 2 Flight Simulator older $49.99 1,956 79% 59k $2.9M (exactly $2,933,413) IPACS
Juno: New Origins older $19.99 3,085 89% 93k $1.9M (exactly $1,850,074) Jundroo, LLC
AirportSim older $34.99 1,412 67% 42k $1.5M (exactly $1,482,176) MS GAMES, MK STUDIOS
BallisticNG older $14.99 2,285 95% 69k $1.0M (exactly $1,027,564) Neognosis
Mini Airways - ATC simulator older $9.99 1,339 92% 40k $401k (exactly $401,298) CCC Games, Erabit
AI Drone Simulator older $14.99 206 83% 6.2k $93k (exactly $92,638) Diophante Studio
Re:Flex $9.99 150 86% 4.5k $45k (exactly $44,955) Marc Studio
SKYSAVIOR Helicopter Services · EA $12.99 58 100% 1.7k $23k (exactly $22,603) Raphael do Amaral de Albuquerque
XFlight: FPV Drone Simulator $24.99 24 79% 720 $18k (exactly $17,993) Lingsrealm Technology
Star Racer $9.99 59 93% 1.8k $18k (exactly $17,682) Whatnot Games
Supersonic Bridge Racing $11.99 11 100% 330 $4.0k (exactly $3,957) Stumi Games
Space Tournament $9.99 5 100% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) Trash Titans
Drawn to Drift $9.99 4 100% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) FrogForgeGames
Gravity Drop $6.99 4 100% 120 $839 (exactly $839) Octopie Lab
Isles Above · EA $5.99 2 100% 60 $359 (exactly $359) UVW Game Studio
ZipRush: Surf the Void · EA $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Narriflux

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.