Do I ship it?

Games › Flight › Flight + Horror

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Horror Flight game?

Flight + Horror

Only 5 developers shipped a Horror Flight game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Unlucky Chicken, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 21 more are announced, ×21 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 0 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.3k against a market of $630. 21 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 2.1 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 21 announced, ×21 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Flight + Horror
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 5

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Flight + Horror: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 5
Bottom 30% $1.2k (exactly $1,198)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,336)
Top 25% $2.1k (exactly $2,090)
Top 5% $4.6k (exactly $4,649)
Developers, 2 yr 5
Released games 33
Announced 21
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $2.98

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: too few recent games to read.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Flight
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Horror
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Flight
Price point
$2.98 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 9,201 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.2k, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $2.0k, 1 in 20 over $4.6k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.2k. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 21 games are announced against 0 developers who shipped in the last year, ×21 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Flight with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Choose Your Own AdventureFair9 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  2. + Hidden ObjectFair9 devs · median $1.3k · 10 announced
  3. + Quick-Time EventsFair9 devs · median $657 · 9 announced
  4. + CatsFair6 devs · median $629 · 10 announced
  5. + Life SimPoor odds12 devs · median $70k · 29 announced
  6. + TradingPoor odds6 devs · median $36k · 21 announced
  7. + MiningPoor odds10 devs · median $35k · 13 announced
  8. + CraftingPoor odds14 devs · median $19k · 57 announced
  9. + Base BuildingPoor odds23 devs · median $17k · 48 announced
  10. + EconomyPoor odds20 devs · median $15k · 45 announced
  11. + RTSPoor odds14 devs · median $15k · 18 announced
  12. + Cold WarPoor odds10 devs · median $11k · 16 announced

All 132 pairs on the Flight page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Harry Potter: Quidditch Champions 2024 · $2.5M Arctic Eggs 2024 · $1.6M Fly Simulator 2017 · $56k Zombies on a Plane 2016 · $23k Flying Hero VR 2020 · $22k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Harry Potter: Quidditch Champions older $29.99 2,790 73% 84k $2.5M (exactly $2,510,163) Unbroken Studios
Arctic Eggs older $9.99 5,343 95% 160k $1.6M (exactly $1,601,297) The Water Museum, cockydoody, abmarnie,… (The Water Museum, cockydoody, abmarnie, Cameron Ginex)
Fly Simulator older $2.99 629 64% 19k $56k (exactly $56,421) HFM Games
Zombies on a Plane older $4.99 153 43% 4.6k $23k (exactly $22,904) Shangri-La Game Studios Ltd
Flying Hero VR older $9.99 73 82% 2.2k $22k (exactly $21,878) Red Android, EpiXR Games UG
Wolf and Pigs older $16.99 18 94% 540 $9.2k (exactly $9,175) Visual Light
Streatham Hill Stories older $4.99 40 62% 1.2k $6.0k (exactly $5,988) Anthony Staines
Cooking Witch older $1.99 86 88% 2.6k $5.1k (exactly $5,134) VaragtP
Murder Diaries 3 - Santa's Trail of Blood older $9.99 17 94% 510 $5.1k (exactly $5,095) EpiXR Games UG
Unlucky Chicken $2.98 52 90% 1.6k $4.6k (exactly $4,649) Kayla.Z
Nightmare Flight $1.99 35 45% 1.1k $2.1k (exactly $2,090) Horrid Vision
A Butterfly $0.99 45 97% 1.4k $1.3k (exactly $1,336) alienmelon
The Giant Crab in Space $7.99 5 60% 150 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) TensionSplice
Aery - Midnight Hour $9.99 3 66% 90 $899 (exactly $899) EpiXR Games UG

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.